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Eliteserien
Referee: S Moen
Stabaek
T T U T T
0–1
Full-time
Molde
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stabaek Molde
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
0,8
2,7
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 15/16 matches
Win Ø 42%
27%
56%
Points per game
1,1
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
60%
69%
Both score Ø 52%
53%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,6
Scored
1,1
2,4
Conceded
1,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,39 xG 1,60
48% Possession 52%
7 Shots 11
1 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 6
9 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stabaek 12. · Molde 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 16 13 2 1 +27 +5.4 41
2 Viking 15 10 2 3 +12 +1.0 32
3 Tromso 15 9 3 3 +7 +0.5 30
4 Molde 16 9 2 5 +19 +6.7 29
5 Brann 16 8 3 5 +7 -3.2 27
6 Lillestrom 15 8 2 5 +7 +5.2 26
7 Odd 16 6 4 6 -1 +1.7 22
8 Sarpsborg 08 15 6 3 6 +1 -0.3 21
9 Stromsgodset 15 6 2 7 +1 -0.9 20
10 Rosenborg 16 5 4 7 -4 -0.7 19
11 Haugesund 15 5 3 7 -7 -2.4 18
12 Stabaek 15 4 4 7 -7 +4.0 16
13 Ham-Kam 15 5 1 9 -15 -2.3 16
14 Sandefjord 15 3 4 8 -12 -8.9 13
15 Valerenga 15 3 2 10 -10 -3.3 11
16 Aalesund 16 2 1 13 -25 -2.5 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stabaek Molde
Half-time 0–0
C. Edwards 🔁
↦ H. Geelmuyden
57′
T. Pachonik 🔁
↦ N. Walstad
57′
62′
V. Berisha 0–1
K. Kostadinov 🔁
↦ F. Krogstad
70′
72′
🔁 M. Ellingsen
↦ M. Kaasa
72′
🔁 M. Linnes
↦ E. Knudtzon
72′
🔁 B. Hansen
↦ E. Haugan
81′
🔁 E. Breivik
↦ M. Grødem
86′
🔁 M. Eikrem
↦ E. Kitolano
A. Andresen 🔁
↦ S. Ottesen
90′
96′
🟨 Anders Hagelskjær
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Stabaek

3-5-2
21 I. Pettersson G
2 K. Pedersen D
3 N. Næss D
6 A. Skovgaard D
15 S. Ottesen M
14 F. Krogstad M
47 Jonatan Lucca M
10 H. Geelmuyden M
11 N. Walstad M
9 M. Bakenga F
69 K. Høgh F
Bench (9)
8 C. Edwards
33 T. Pachonik
24 K. Kostadinov
20 A. Andresen
31 O. Veum
4 S. Wangberg
40 S. Olderheim
1 M. Ulla
5 N. Jenssen

Coach: L. Bohinen

Molde

5-3-2
1 J. Karlstrøm G
14 E. Knudtzon D
19 E. Haugan D
2 M. Bjørnbak D
25 A. Hagelskjær D
31 M. Løvik D
20 K. Eriksen M
15 M. Kaasa M
22 M. Grødem M
10 E. Kitolano F
9 V. Berisha F
Bench (9)
6 M. Ellingsen
21 M. Linnes
4 B. Hansen
16 E. Breivik
7 M. Eikrem
34 P. Lervik
11 O. Brynhildsen
33 N. Ødegård
28 K. Haugen

Coach: E. Moe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Moen · 54 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.