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Eliteserien

Referee: R Saggi

Valerenga

T U S T T

2–3

Full-time

Sandefjord

T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Sandefjord

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,3

5,0

Scored

1,7

1,8

Conceded

1,7

3,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 18%

21%

14%

Points per game

0,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

64%

57%

Both score Ø 54%

57%

50%

Average goals

2,9

3,4

Scored

1,1

1,2

Conceded

1,8

2,1

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,85 xG 1,06

51% Possession 49%

18 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 7

1 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

7 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valerenga 14. · Sandefjord 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	16	13	2	1	+27	+5.4	41
2	Viking	15	10	2	3	+12	+1.0	32
3	Tromso	15	9	3	3	+7	+0.5	30
4	Molde	16	9	2	5	+19	+6.7	29
5	Brann	16	8	3	5	+7	-3.2	27
6	Lillestrom	15	8	2	5	+7	+5.2	26
7	Odd	16	6	4	6	-1	+1.7	22
8	Sarpsborg 08	15	6	3	6	+1	-0.3	21
9	Stromsgodset	15	6	2	7	+1	-0.9	20
10	Rosenborg	16	5	4	7	-4	-0.7	19
11	Haugesund	15	5	3	7	-7	-2.4	18
12	Stabaek	15	4	4	7	-7	+4.0	16
13	Ham-Kam	15	5	1	9	-15	-2.3	16
14	Valerenga	14	3	2	9	-9	-5.1	11
15	Sandefjord	14	2	4	8	-13	-7.1	10
16	Aalesund	16	2	1	13	-25	-2.5	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	8	6	2	0	+15	+1.7	20
2	Brann	8	6	2	0	+12	+0.3	20
3	Molde	8	6	1	1	+15	+4.5	19
4	Viking	8	6	1	1	+12	+1.1	19
5	Lillestrom	8	5	0	3	+7	+2.7	15
6	Haugesund	7	4	2	1	+3	-0.7	14
7	Tromso	8	4	2	2	+3	+1.6	14
8	Ham-Kam	8	4	1	3	+0	-2.3	13
9	Rosenborg	9	4	1	4	-1	-0.8	13
10	Stromsgodset	7	4	0	3	+4	-0.6	12
11	Stabaek	8	3	3	2	+3	+0.1	12
12	Odd	7	3	2	2	+1	+0.9	11
13	Sarpsborg 08	7	3	1	3	+3	-0.0	10
14	Sandefjord	6	2	2	2	+3	-4.4	8
15	Aalesund	8	2	1	5	-7	-0.7	7
16	Valerenga	7	1	0	6	-8	-2.2	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	8	7	0	1	+12	+3.7	21
2	Tromso	7	5	1	1	+4	-1.0	16
3	Viking	7	4	1	2	+0	-0.1	13
4	Lillestrom	7	3	2	2	+0	+2.5	11
5	Sarpsborg 08	8	3	2	3	-2	-0.3	11
6	Odd	9	3	2	4	-2	+0.7	11
7	Molde	8	3	1	4	+4	+2.2	10
8	Valerenga	7	2	2	3	-1	-2.8	8
9	Stromsgodset	8	2	2	4	-3	-0.3	8
10	Brann	8	2	1	5	-5	-3.6	7
11	Rosenborg	7	1	3	3	-3	+0.0	6
12	Stabaek	7	1	1	5	-10	+3.9	4
13	Haugesund	8	1	1	6	-10	-1.7	4
14	Ham-Kam	7	1	0	6	-15	+0.0	3
15	Sandefjord	8	0	2	6	-16	-2.7	2
16	Aalesund	8	0	0	8	-18	-1.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.