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Champions League
Referee: I Pajač
Molde
S S S T S
2–0
Full-time
HJK Helsinki
T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde HJK Helsinki
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
2,5
0,8
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
1,0
2,0
Scored
0,0
1,3
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

16 Shots 1
3 Shots on target 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
10 Corners 1
4 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Jul -23 HJK Helsinki – Molde 1–0

Match report

Molde HJK Helsinki
27′
🟨 Atomu Tanaka
Half-time 0–0
K. Eriksen 🔁
↦ M. Kaasa
59′
E. Kitolano 🔁
↦ M. Eikrem
59′
63′
🔁 A. Olusanya
↦ T. Keskinen
63′
🔁 F. Rogić
↦ A. Tanaka
Anders Hagelskjær 🟨
64′
V. Berisha 🔁
↦ A. Hagelskjær
71′
0–1 J. Öst ⚽
own goal
74′
82′
🔁 P. Hetemaj
↦ G. Kanellópoulos
82′
🔁 T. Ollila
↦ K. Kouassivi-Benissan
1–1 O. Brynhildsen ⚽
89′
91′
🔁 R. Riski
↦ J. Raitala
M. Ellingsen 🔁
↦ E. Breivik
94′
B. Hansen 🔁
↦ O. Brynhildsen
94′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Molde

3-5-2
1 J. Karlstrøm G
19 E. Haugan D
2 M. Bjørnbak D
25 A. Hagelskjær D
28 K. Haugen M
15 M. Kaasa M
8 S. Heggheim M
16 E. Breivik M
21 M. Linnes M
7 M. Eikrem F
11 O. Brynhildsen F
Bench (12)
20 K. Eriksen
10 E. Kitolano
9 V. Berisha
6 M. Ellingsen
4 B. Hansen
14 E. Knudtzon
31 M. Løvik
32 H. Ibrahim
33 N. Ødegård
12 O. Petersen
22 M. Grødem
23 E. Andersen

Coach: E. Moe

HJK Helsinki

3-4-3
1 J. Öst G
4 J. Toivio D
15 M. Tenho D
22 J. Raitala D
23 P. Soiri M
24 G. Kanellópoulos M
10 L. Lingman M
37 A. Tanaka M
27 K. Kouassivi-Benissan D
9 B. Radulović F
18 T. Keskinen M
Bench (9)
29 A. Olusanya
8 F. Rogić
56 P. Hetemaj
2 T. Ollila
11 R. Riski
7 S. Hostikka
6 A. Halme
78 A. Ramula
3 N. Hämäläinen

Coach: T. Korkeakunnas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Pajač · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.