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La Liga
Referee: Alberto Undiano
Ath Bilbao
T U T U U
0–0
Full-time
Valencia
U U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Valencia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,8
1,2
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,2
This season — La Liga · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 11%
11%
11%
Points per game
1,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
56%
11%
Both score Ø 73%
89%
56%
Average goals
2,9
1,7
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,7
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
13 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 2
0 Offside 5
25 Free kicks against 22
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ath Bilbao 17. · Valencia 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 9 5 3 1 +12 18
2 Espanol 10 5 3 2 +6 18
3 Alaves 9 5 2 2 +4 17
4 Sevilla 9 5 1 3 +8 16
5 Ath Madrid 9 4 4 1 +5 16
6 Valladolid 10 4 4 2 +2 16
7 Real Madrid 9 4 2 3 +4 14
8 Levante 9 4 1 4 -1 13
9 Girona 10 3 4 3 -2 13
10 Sociedad 9 3 3 3 +1 12
11 Getafe 9 3 3 3 +0 12
12 Betis 9 3 3 3 -2 12
13 Eibar 9 3 2 4 -3 11
14 Celta 9 2 4 3 +0 10
15 Valencia 9 1 7 1 -1 10
16 Villarreal 9 2 3 4 -1 9
17 Ath Bilbao 9 1 6 2 -4 9
18 Leganes 9 2 2 5 -5 8
19 Vallecano 10 1 3 6 -10 6
20 Huesca 9 1 2 6 -13 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Bilbao Valencia
16′
🟨 Rubén Vezo
Ander Capa 🟨
20′
35′
🟨 Carlos Soler
38′
🟨 Michy Batshuayi
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 K. Gameiro
↦ M. Batshuayi
Iñaki Williams 🔁
↦ Aduriz
69′
70′
🔁 D. Wass
↦ Carlos Soler
74′
🟨 Daniel Wass
Yuri Berchiche 🟨
77′
Muniain 🔁
↦ Mikel Rico
79′
Unai López 🔁
↦ Susaeta
89′
90′
🟨 José Luis Gayà
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Ath Bilbao

4-1-4-1
13 Iago Herrerín G
12 Yuri D
4 Íñigo Martínez D
21 Ander Capa D
5 Yeray Álvarez D
22 Raúl García M
14 Susaeta M
6 San José M
17 Mikel Rico M
16 Dani García M
20 Aduriz F
Bench (7)
9 Iñaki Williams
10 Muniain
23 Unai López
3 Unai Núñez
18 De Marcos
24 Balenziaga
25 Unai Simón

Coach: E. Berizzo

Valencia

4-4-2
13 Neto G
24 E. Garay D
5 Gabriel Paulista D
14 José Gayá D
3 Rúben Vezo D
10 Dani Parejo M
17 F. Coquelin M
6 G. Kondogbia M
8 Carlos Soler M
19 Rodrigo F
23 M. Batshuayi F
Bench (7)
9 K. Gameiro
18 D. Wass
1 Jaume Doménech
4 J. Murillo
12 M. Diakhaby
15 Toni Lato
20 Ferrán Torres

Coach: Marcelino

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Alberto Undiano · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.