La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Levante
Leganes
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +12 | 18 |
| 2 |
Espanol
|
10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 18 |
| 3 |
Alaves
|
9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 17 |
| 4 |
Sevilla
|
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +8 | 16 |
| 5 |
Ath Madrid
|
9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +5 | 16 |
| 6 |
Valladolid
|
10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 16 |
| 7 |
Real Madrid
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 14 |
| 8 |
Levante
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 |
Girona
|
10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 |
Sociedad
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 11 |
Getafe
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +0 | 12 |
| 12 |
Betis
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 12 |
| 13 |
Valencia
|
10 | 1 | 8 | 1 | -1 | 11 |
| 14 |
Eibar
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 11 |
| 15 |
Celta
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +0 | 10 |
| 16 |
Ath Bilbao
|
10 | 1 | 7 | 2 | -4 | 10 |
| 17 |
Villarreal
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 18 |
Leganes
|
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 19 |
Vallecano
|
10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 6 |
| 20 |
Huesca
|
9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -13 | 5 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Real Madrid
Levante
Getafe
Levante
Levante
Alaves
Valladolid
Levante
Levante
Sevilla
Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea · 116 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.