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La Liga
Referee: Ignacio Iglesias Villanueva
Valencia
U U U S U
1–1
Full-time
Leganes
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Leganes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,5
2,0
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
This season — La Liga · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 19%
13%
25%
Points per game
1,1
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
13%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,6
2,4
Scored
0,8
0,9
Conceded
0,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
18 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Corners 1
2 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valencia 14. · Leganes 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alaves 9 5 2 2 +4 17
2 Sevilla 8 5 1 2 +10 16
3 Barcelona 8 4 3 1 +10 15
4 Ath Madrid 8 4 3 1 +5 15
5 Real Madrid 9 4 2 3 +4 14
6 Espanol 8 4 2 2 +4 14
7 Levante 9 4 1 4 -1 13
8 Valladolid 8 3 3 2 +1 12
9 Betis 8 3 3 2 -1 12
10 Sociedad 8 3 2 3 +1 11
11 Celta 9 2 4 3 +0 10
12 Eibar 8 3 1 4 -3 10
13 Getafe 8 2 3 3 -1 9
14 Valencia 8 1 6 1 -1 9
15 Girona 8 2 3 3 -3 9
16 Villarreal 8 2 2 4 -1 8
17 Ath Bilbao 7 1 4 2 -4 7
18 Leganes 8 2 1 5 -5 7
19 Vallecano 7 1 2 4 -8 5
20 Huesca 8 1 2 5 -11 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valencia Leganes
Carlos Soler 🔁
↦ D. Cheryshev
16′
33′
🟨 Óscar Rodríguez
43′
🔁 Sabin Merino
↦ G. Carrillo
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Rodri Tarín
↦ N. El Zhar
48′
🟨 Gerard Gumbau
M. Batshuayi 🔁
↦ C. Piccini
59′
63′
Gerard Gumbau 0–1
70′
🔁 Raúl García
↦ K. Omeruo
Ferrán Torres 🔁
↦ F. Coquelin
78′
1–1 José Gayá
Dani Parejo
85′
Dani Parejo 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Valencia

4-4-2
13 Neto G
24 E. Garay D
5 Gabriel Paulista D
21 C. Piccini D
14 José Gayá D
18 D. Wass M
10 Dani Parejo M
17 F. Coquelin M
11 D. Cheryshev M
9 K. Gameiro F
19 Rodrigo F
Bench (7)
8 Carlos Soler
23 M. Batshuayi
20 Ferrán Torres
3 Rúben Vezo
1 Jaume Doménech
12 M. Diakhaby
15 Toni Lato

Coach: Marcelino

Leganes

4-1-4-1
1 Pichu Cuéllar G
22 D. Siovas D
24 K. Omeruo D
2 Juanfran D
5 J. Silva D
10 N. El Zhar M
21 Rubén Pérez M
6 Gerard Gumbau M
23 Mikel Vesga M
27 Óscar Rodríguez M
9 G. Carrillo F
Bench (7)
18 Sabin Merino
28 Rodri Tarín
14 Raúl García
33 Javier Avilés
29 A. Lunin
8 Recio
4 D. Rolan

Coach: M. Pellegrino

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ignacio Iglesias Villanueva · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.