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La Liga

Referee: Carlos Del Cerro Grande

Ath Bilbao

T S U U U

0–3

Full-time

Villarreal

T U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Villarreal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,0

1,5

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

1,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

This season — La Liga · 4/5 matches

Win Ø 23%

25%

20%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

75%

20%

Both score Ø 60%

100%

20%

Average goals

3,3

1,0

Scored

1,8

0,4

Conceded

1,5

0,6

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

66% Possession 34%

12 Shots 19

2 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 4

3 Offside 0

3 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 12. · Villarreal 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	5	4	1	0	+11	13
2	Real Madrid	5	4	1	0	+9	13
3	Ath Madrid	6	3	2	1	+4	11
4	Alaves	5	3	1	1	+3	10
5	Espanol	6	3	1	2	+2	10
6	Celta	5	2	2	1	+2	8
7	Sociedad	6	2	2	2	+0	8
8	Girona	5	2	2	1	-1	8
9	Sevilla	5	2	1	2	+4	7
10	Getafe	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	Eibar	6	2	1	3	-2	7
12	Ath Bilbao	4	1	3	0	+1	6
13	Betis	5	1	3	1	-2	6
14	Villarreal	5	1	2	2	-1	5
15	Valencia	5	0	4	1	-2	4
16	Levante	5	1	1	3	-3	4
17	Vallecano	5	1	1	3	-7	4
18	Huesca	6	1	1	4	-10	4
19	Valladolid	5	0	3	2	-2	3
20	Leganes	5	0	1	4	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Espanol	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Barcelona	3	2	1	0	+9	7
4	Ath Madrid	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Eibar	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Celta	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	Ath Bilbao	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Alaves	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Getafe	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Girona	3	1	1	1	-2	4
11	Betis	3	1	1	1	-2	4
12	Valencia	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Sociedad	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Leganes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Villarreal	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Sevilla	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Levante	3	0	1	2	-5	1
18	Valladolid	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Huesca	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Vallecano	2	0	0	2	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	4	2	1	1	+1	7
2	Sevilla	3	2	0	1	+6	6
3	Alaves	3	2	0	1	+2	6
4	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Real Madrid	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Girona	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Villarreal	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Ath Madrid	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Vallecano	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Huesca	4	1	1	2	-8	4
11	Levante	2	1	0	1	+2	3
12	Celta	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Valladolid	3	0	3	0	+0	3
14	Getafe	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Betis	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Valencia	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Ath Bilbao	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Espanol	3	0	1	2	-2	1
19	Eibar	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	Leganes	3	0	0	3	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.