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La Liga

Referee: Alejandro Hernandez

Ath Bilbao

U U U T U

1–3

Full-time

Sociedad

T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Sociedad

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

This season — La Liga · 6/7 matches

Win Ø 23%

17%

29%

Points per game

1,2

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

67%

71%

Both score Ø 77%

83%

71%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,7

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

69% Possession 31%

13 Shots 6

5 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

11 Corners 0

2 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 19

6 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 15. · Sociedad 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	7	4	2	1	+10	14
2	Real Madrid	7	4	2	1	+6	14
3	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	+9	13
4	Ath Madrid	7	3	3	1	+4	12
5	Betis	7	3	3	1	+0	12
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	+2	11
7	Espanol	7	3	2	2	+2	11
8	Celta	7	2	4	1	+2	10
9	Valladolid	7	2	3	2	+0	9
10	Getafe	7	2	3	2	+0	9
11	Girona	7	2	3	2	-2	9
12	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	+1	8
13	Sociedad	7	2	2	3	-1	8
14	Valencia	7	1	5	1	-1	8
15	Ath Bilbao	6	1	4	1	-2	7
16	Levante	7	2	1	4	-3	7
17	Eibar	7	2	1	4	-4	7
18	Vallecano	6	1	2	3	-7	5
19	Huesca	7	1	2	4	-10	5
20	Leganes	7	1	1	5	-6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	Espanol	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Barcelona	4	2	2	0	+9	8
4	Ath Madrid	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Betis	4	2	1	1	-1	7
6	Celta	4	1	3	0	+2	6
7	Eibar	4	2	0	2	-1	6
8	Alaves	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Ath Bilbao	4	1	2	1	-2	5
10	Sevilla	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Leganes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Getafe	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Girona	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Levante	4	1	1	2	-4	4
15	Valencia	3	0	3	0	+0	3
16	Valladolid	3	1	0	2	-1	3
17	Sociedad	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Huesca	3	0	1	2	-2	1
19	Villarreal	4	0	1	3	-3	1
20	Vallecano	3	0	1	2	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	4	3	0	1	+8	9
2	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Sociedad	4	2	1	1	+1	7
4	Alaves	4	2	0	2	+1	6
5	Valladolid	4	1	3	0	+1	6
6	Barcelona	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Girona	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Betis	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Getafe	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	Ath Madrid	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Valencia	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	Real Madrid	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Celta	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Vallecano	3	1	1	1	+0	4
15	Huesca	4	1	1	2	-8	4
16	Levante	3	1	0	2	+1	3
17	Ath Bilbao	2	0	2	0	+0	2
18	Espanol	4	0	2	2	-2	2
19	Eibar	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	Leganes	4	0	0	4	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.