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Championship
Referee: Jeremy Simpson
Preston
T U S U S
1–1
Full-time
Rotherham
U U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Preston Rotherham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,8
1,8
Scored
2,7
0,7
Conceded
2,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
This season — Championship · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 21%
21%
21%
Points per game
0,9
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
64%
29%
Both score Ø 47%
57%
36%
Average goals
3,6
2,1
Scored
1,6
0,7
Conceded
2,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%
15 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 7
2 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Preston 19. · Rotherham 21.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Middlesbrough 15 7 6 2 +9 27
2 Sheffield United 14 8 2 4 +7 26
3 Derby 14 7 4 3 +9 25
4 West Brom 14 7 3 4 +10 24
5 Norwich 14 7 3 4 +2 24
6 Leeds 13 6 5 2 +11 23
7 QPR 15 7 2 6 -4 23
8 Nott'm Forest 14 5 7 2 +6 22
9 Bristol City 14 6 4 4 +4 22
10 Blackburn 14 5 6 3 -2 21
11 Swansea 14 5 5 4 +4 20
12 Birmingham 14 4 8 2 +3 20
13 Wigan 14 6 2 6 -2 20
14 Sheffield Weds 14 5 4 5 -3 19
15 Brentford 14 4 6 4 +4 18
16 Aston Villa 15 4 6 5 -1 18
17 Stoke 14 4 5 5 -2 17
18 Bolton 14 4 4 6 -8 16
19 Preston 14 3 4 7 -5 13
20 Millwall 14 3 4 7 -7 13
21 Rotherham 14 3 4 7 -10 13
22 Reading 14 3 3 8 -4 12
23 Hull 14 2 3 9 -10 9
24 Ipswich 14 1 6 7 -11 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Preston Rotherham
1–0 T. Barkhuizen
C. Robinson
40′
Half-time 1–1
55′
M. Smith 1–1
R. Williams
S. Maguire 🔁
↦ L. Nmecha
64′
68′
🔁 J. Newell
↦ J. Taylor
P. Gallagher 🔁
↦ D. Johnson
72′
L. Moult 🔁
↦ T. Barkhuizen
75′
76′
🔁 J. Proctor
↦ K. Vassell
84′
🟨 Richie Towell
85′
🔁 R. Manning
↦ R. Williams
Sean Maguire 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Preston

4-2-3-1
22 C. Maxwell G
23 P. Huntington D
5 T. Clarke D
16 A. Hughes D
6 B. Davies D
29 T. Barkhuizen M
11 D. Johnson M
4 B. Pearson M
8 A. Browne M
7 C. Robinson M
45 L. Nmecha F
Bench (7)
24 S. Maguire
12 P. Gallagher
9 L. Moult
1 D. Rudd
2 D. Fisher
3 J. Earl
14 J. Storey

Coach: A. Neil

Rotherham

4-1-4-1
1 M. Rodák G
3 J. Mattock D
15 C. Robertson D
5 S. Ajayi D
2 Z. Vyner D
13 R. Towell M
11 J. Taylor M
23 R. Williams M
4 W. Vaulks M
24 M. Smith F
19 K. Vassell F
Bench (7)
22 J. Newell
9 J. Proctor
17 R. Manning
6 R. Wood
8 M. Palmer
12 L. Price
25 B. Wiles

Coach: P. Warne

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jeremy Simpson · 104 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.