Championship
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Preston
Rotherham
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Middlesbrough
|
15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | +9 | 27 |
| 2 |
Sheffield United
|
14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +7 | 26 |
| 3 |
Derby
|
14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | +9 | 25 |
| 4 |
West Brom
|
14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | +10 | 24 |
| 5 |
Norwich
|
14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 24 |
| 6 |
Leeds
|
13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +11 | 23 |
| 7 |
QPR
|
15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 23 |
| 8 |
Nott'm Forest
|
14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | +6 | 22 |
| 9 |
Bristol City
|
14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 22 |
| 10 |
Blackburn
|
14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | -2 | 21 |
| 11 |
Swansea
|
14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 20 |
| 12 |
Birmingham
|
14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | +3 | 20 |
| 13 |
Wigan
|
14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | -2 | 20 |
| 14 |
Sheffield Weds
|
14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 19 |
| 15 |
Brentford
|
14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +4 | 18 |
| 16 |
Aston Villa
|
15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | -1 | 18 |
| 17 |
Stoke
|
14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | -2 | 17 |
| 18 |
Bolton
|
14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 16 |
| 19 |
Preston
|
14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -5 | 13 |
| 20 |
Millwall
|
14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -7 | 13 |
| 21 |
Rotherham
|
14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -10 | 13 |
| 22 |
Reading
|
14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -4 | 12 |
| 23 |
Hull
|
14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -10 | 9 |
| 24 |
Ipswich
|
14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -11 | 9 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
A. Hughes
D
B. Davies
D
B. Pearson
M
A. Browne
M
C. Robinson
M
L. Nmecha
F
Coach: A. Neil
S. Ajayi
D
Z. Vyner
D
Coach: P. Warne
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Preston
Brentford
Hull
Preston
Preston
Wigan
Aston Villa
Preston
Preston
West Brom
Jeremy Simpson · 104 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.