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La Liga

Referee: Jose Luis Munuera Montero

Girona

U T U T U

2–1

Full-time

Vallecano

U U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Girona Vallecano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,8

3,3

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,5

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,0

This season — La Liga · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 17%

22%

11%

Points per game

1,1

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

44%

56%

Both score Ø 62%

56%

67%

Average goals

2,6

3,0

Scored

1,1

1,0

Conceded

1,4

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

44% Possession 56%

14 Shots 14

6 Shots on target 5

0 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 7

3 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Girona 15. · Vallecano 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	9	5	3	1	+12	18
2	Espanol	10	5	3	2	+6	18
3	Alaves	9	5	2	2	+4	17
4	Sevilla	9	5	1	3	+8	16
5	Ath Madrid	9	4	4	1	+5	16
6	Valladolid	10	4	4	2	+2	16
7	Real Madrid	9	4	2	3	+4	14
8	Levante	9	4	1	4	-1	13
9	Sociedad	9	3	3	3	+1	12
10	Getafe	9	3	3	3	+0	12
11	Betis	9	3	3	3	-2	12
12	Eibar	9	3	2	4	-3	11
13	Celta	9	2	4	3	+0	10
14	Valencia	9	1	7	1	-1	10
15	Girona	9	2	4	3	-3	10
16	Villarreal	9	2	3	4	-1	9
17	Ath Bilbao	9	1	6	2	-4	9
18	Leganes	9	2	2	5	-5	8
19	Vallecano	9	1	3	5	-9	6
20	Huesca	9	1	2	6	-13	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Espanol	4	4	0	0	+6	12
2	Barcelona	5	3	2	0	+11	11
3	Real Madrid	5	3	1	1	+5	10
4	Ath Madrid	4	3	1	0	+5	10
5	Alaves	4	2	2	0	+2	8
6	Sevilla	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Leganes	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Valladolid	5	2	1	2	+0	7
9	Eibar	5	2	1	2	-1	7
10	Betis	5	2	1	2	-2	7
11	Celta	5	1	3	1	+1	6
12	Valencia	5	0	5	0	+0	5
13	Ath Bilbao	5	1	2	2	-4	5
14	Getafe	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Levante	4	1	1	2	-4	4
16	Girona	5	1	1	3	-4	4
17	Sociedad	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Villarreal	5	0	2	3	-3	2
19	Vallecano	5	0	2	3	-8	2
20	Huesca	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	5	3	1	1	+3	10
2	Sevilla	5	3	0	2	+6	9
3	Levante	5	3	0	2	+3	9
4	Alaves	5	3	0	2	+2	9
5	Valladolid	5	2	3	0	+2	9
6	Getafe	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Villarreal	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Barcelona	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Girona	4	1	3	0	+1	6
10	Espanol	6	1	3	2	+0	6
11	Ath Madrid	5	1	3	1	+0	6
12	Betis	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Valencia	4	1	2	1	-1	5
14	Ath Bilbao	4	0	4	0	+0	4
15	Celta	4	1	1	2	-1	4
16	Real Madrid	4	1	1	2	-1	4
17	Vallecano	4	1	1	2	-1	4
18	Eibar	4	1	1	2	-2	4
19	Huesca	5	1	1	3	-9	4
20	Leganes	5	0	1	4	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.