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Primeira Liga

Referee: Helder Malheiro

Rio Ave

U S S S U

1–0

Full-time

Chaves

T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rio Ave Chaves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,0

This season — Primeira Liga · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 43%

57%

29%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

57%

Both score Ø 65%

86%

43%

Average goals

2,9

2,7

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,1

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%

7 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 8

4 Offside 2

19 Free kicks against 24

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rio Ave 5. · Chaves 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Braga	8	5	3	0	+9	18
2	Benfica	7	5	2	0	+10	17
3	Porto	7	5	0	2	+10	15
4	Santa Clara	8	4	2	2	+4	14
5	Rio Ave	7	4	2	1	+4	14
6	Sp Lisbon	7	4	1	2	+3	13
7	Guimaraes	8	3	2	3	+1	11
8	Maritimo	7	3	1	3	-3	10
9	Portimonense	8	3	1	4	-4	10
10	Feirense	7	2	3	2	+1	9
11	Vitoria Setubal	7	2	2	3	+1	8
12	Boavista	7	2	1	4	-3	7
13	Belenenses	7	1	4	2	-3	7
14	Chaves	7	2	1	4	-5	7
15	Moreirense	7	2	1	4	-8	7
16	Tondela	7	1	3	3	-1	6
17	Nacional	8	1	2	5	-10	5
18	Aves	8	1	1	6	-6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Braga	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Benfica	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	Porto	4	3	0	1	+8	9
4	Rio Ave	3	3	0	0	+4	9
5	Sp Lisbon	3	3	0	0	+4	9
6	Portimonense	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Santa Clara	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Maritimo	4	2	1	1	+0	7
9	Vitoria Setubal	4	2	0	2	+2	6
10	Feirense	4	1	3	0	+2	6
11	Tondela	4	1	2	1	+1	5
12	Guimaraes	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Aves	4	1	1	2	+1	4
14	Chaves	3	1	1	1	+1	4
15	Moreirense	3	1	1	1	-1	4
16	Boavista	3	1	0	2	-2	3
17	Belenenses	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Nacional	4	0	0	4	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Braga	4	2	2	0	+4	8
2	Benfica	3	2	1	0	+6	7
3	Santa Clara	4	2	1	1	+3	7
4	Porto	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Guimaraes	4	2	0	2	+1	6
6	Belenenses	4	1	3	0	+1	6
7	Rio Ave	4	1	2	1	+0	5
8	Nacional	4	1	2	1	-1	5
9	Boavista	4	1	1	2	-1	4
10	Sp Lisbon	4	1	1	2	-1	4
11	Feirense	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	Maritimo	3	1	0	2	-3	3
13	Portimonense	4	1	0	3	-5	3
14	Chaves	4	1	0	3	-6	3
15	Moreirense	4	1	0	3	-7	3
16	Vitoria Setubal	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Tondela	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Aves	4	0	0	4	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.