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La Liga

Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano

Valencia

U T T S S

0–3

Full-time

Ath Bilbao

S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Ath Bilbao

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,3

3,5

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,2

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,8

This season — La Liga · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 34%

28%

40%

Points per game

1,2

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

40%

56%

Both score Ø 48%

52%

44%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,4

Conceded

1,0

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%

9 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 7

4 Offside 0

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valencia 12. · Ath Bilbao 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	25	20	3	2	+47	63
2	Ath Madrid	26	18	4	4	+25	58
3	Real Madrid	26	16	6	4	+46	54
4	Villarreal	26	15	7	4	+15	52
5	Sevilla	25	11	8	6	+10	41
6	Celta	26	12	5	9	-5	41
7	Eibar	26	10	6	10	+5	36
8	Ath Bilbao	25	10	5	10	+0	35
9	Sociedad	26	9	7	10	+1	34
10	La Coruna	25	6	14	5	+2	32
11	Malaga	26	8	8	10	+0	32
12	Valencia	25	7	10	8	+4	31
13	Betis	26	6	10	10	-15	28
14	Espanol	26	8	4	14	-24	28
15	Getafe	26	7	5	14	-14	26
16	Vallecano	26	6	8	12	-17	26
17	Las Palmas	26	6	6	14	-15	24
18	Sp Gijon	26	6	6	14	-16	24
19	Levante	26	5	5	16	-24	20
20	Granada	25	5	5	15	-25	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	13	12	1	0	+37	37
2	Villarreal	14	11	2	1	+15	35
3	Real Madrid	14	11	1	2	+36	34
4	Sevilla	13	11	0	2	+16	33
5	Ath Madrid	12	8	3	1	+9	27
6	Eibar	14	7	3	4	+8	24
7	Ath Bilbao	12	6	3	3	+10	21
8	Getafe	14	6	3	5	+7	21
9	Celta	13	6	3	4	+1	21
10	Valencia	12	4	7	1	+7	19
11	Malaga	12	5	4	3	+7	19
12	Sociedad	13	5	4	4	+3	19
13	Espanol	12	5	4	3	-6	19
14	Vallecano	13	5	3	5	+0	18
15	Las Palmas	13	5	3	5	+0	18
16	La Coruna	12	3	7	2	+5	16
17	Levante	13	4	3	6	-4	15
18	Sp Gijon	13	3	4	6	-3	13
19	Betis	13	2	6	5	-8	12
20	Granada	12	3	2	7	-9	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	14	10	1	3	+16	31
2	Barcelona	12	8	2	2	+10	26
3	Real Madrid	12	5	5	2	+10	20
4	Celta	13	6	2	5	-6	20
5	Villarreal	12	4	5	3	+0	17
6	La Coruna	13	3	7	3	-3	16
7	Betis	13	4	4	5	-7	16
8	Sociedad	13	4	3	6	-2	15
9	Ath Bilbao	13	4	2	7	-10	14
10	Malaga	14	3	4	7	-7	13
11	Eibar	12	3	3	6	-3	12
12	Valencia	13	3	3	7	-3	12
13	Sp Gijon	13	3	2	8	-13	11
14	Granada	13	2	3	8	-16	9
15	Espanol	14	3	0	11	-18	9
16	Sevilla	12	0	8	4	-6	8
17	Vallecano	13	1	5	7	-17	8
18	Las Palmas	13	1	3	9	-15	6
19	Levante	13	1	2	10	-20	5
20	Getafe	12	1	2	9	-21	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.