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La Liga

Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano

Eibar

U S T T S

1–1

Full-time

Ath Bilbao

U U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Ath Bilbao

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,7

3,2

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,8

This season — La Liga · 8/7 matches

Win Ø 26%

38%

14%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

50%

71%

Both score Ø 75%

63%

86%

Average goals

2,6

3,1

Scored

1,1

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

60% Possession 40%

18 Shots 6

6 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 2

6 Offside 5

7 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Eibar 14. · Ath Bilbao 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	9	5	3	1	+12	18
2	Alaves	9	5	2	2	+4	17
3	Sevilla	9	5	1	3	+8	16
4	Ath Madrid	9	4	4	1	+5	16
5	Real Madrid	9	4	2	3	+4	14
6	Espanol	8	4	2	2	+4	14
7	Levante	9	4	1	4	-1	13
8	Valladolid	8	3	3	2	+1	12
9	Getafe	9	3	3	3	+0	12
10	Betis	8	3	3	2	-1	12
11	Sociedad	8	3	2	3	+1	11
12	Celta	9	2	4	3	+0	10
13	Valencia	9	1	7	1	-1	10
14	Eibar	8	3	1	4	-3	10
15	Villarreal	9	2	3	4	-1	9
16	Girona	8	2	3	3	-3	9
17	Leganes	9	2	2	5	-5	8
18	Ath Bilbao	7	1	4	2	-4	7
19	Vallecano	8	1	2	5	-9	5
20	Huesca	8	1	2	5	-11	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Espanol	4	4	0	0	+6	12
2	Barcelona	5	3	2	0	+11	11
3	Real Madrid	5	3	1	1	+5	10
4	Ath Madrid	4	3	1	0	+5	10
5	Alaves	4	2	2	0	+2	8
6	Sevilla	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Leganes	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Betis	4	2	1	1	-1	7
9	Celta	5	1	3	1	+1	6
10	Valladolid	4	2	0	2	+0	6
11	Eibar	4	2	0	2	-1	6
12	Valencia	5	0	5	0	+0	5
13	Ath Bilbao	5	1	2	2	-4	5
14	Getafe	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Levante	4	1	1	2	-4	4
16	Girona	5	1	1	3	-4	4
17	Villarreal	5	0	2	3	-3	2
18	Sociedad	3	0	1	2	-2	1
19	Huesca	3	0	1	2	-2	1
20	Vallecano	4	0	1	3	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	5	3	1	1	+3	10
2	Sevilla	5	3	0	2	+6	9
3	Levante	5	3	0	2	+3	9
4	Alaves	5	3	0	2	+2	9
5	Getafe	5	2	2	1	+1	8
6	Villarreal	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Barcelona	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Valladolid	4	1	3	0	+1	6
9	Ath Madrid	5	1	3	1	+0	6
10	Girona	3	1	2	0	+1	5
11	Betis	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Valencia	4	1	2	1	-1	5
13	Celta	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Real Madrid	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Vallecano	4	1	1	2	-1	4
16	Eibar	4	1	1	2	-2	4
17	Huesca	5	1	1	3	-9	4
18	Ath Bilbao	2	0	2	0	+0	2
19	Espanol	4	0	2	2	-2	2
20	Leganes	5	0	1	4	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.