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La Liga

Referee: Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea

Valencia

U T U U U

1–1

Full-time

Celta

U S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Celta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

1,8

4,0

Scored

0,8

2,3

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,7

This season — La Liga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 20%

40%

Points per game

0,8

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

20%

60%

Both score Ø 60%

40%

80%

Average goals

1,6

3,6

Scored

0,6

2,0

Conceded

1,0

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%

14 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

0 Corners 2

1 Offside 2

18 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valencia 15. · Celta 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	6	4	1	1	+10	13
2	Real Madrid	5	4	1	0	+9	13
3	Ath Madrid	6	3	2	1	+4	11
4	Alaves	5	3	1	1	+3	10
5	Espanol	6	3	1	2	+2	10
6	Celta	5	2	2	1	+2	8
7	Villarreal	6	2	2	2	+2	8
8	Sociedad	6	2	2	2	+0	8
9	Girona	5	2	2	1	-1	8
10	Sevilla	5	2	1	2	+4	7
11	Getafe	5	2	1	2	+0	7
12	Eibar	6	2	1	3	-2	7
13	Ath Bilbao	5	1	3	1	-2	6
14	Betis	5	1	3	1	-2	6
15	Valencia	5	0	4	1	-2	4
16	Levante	5	1	1	3	-3	4
17	Leganes	6	1	1	4	-5	4
18	Vallecano	5	1	1	3	-7	4
19	Huesca	6	1	1	4	-10	4
20	Valladolid	5	0	3	2	-2	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Espanol	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Barcelona	3	2	1	0	+9	7
4	Ath Madrid	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Eibar	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Celta	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	Ath Bilbao	4	1	2	1	-2	5
8	Alaves	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Leganes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Getafe	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Girona	3	1	1	1	-2	4
12	Betis	3	1	1	1	-2	4
13	Valencia	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Sociedad	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Villarreal	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Sevilla	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Levante	3	0	1	2	-5	1
18	Valladolid	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Huesca	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Vallecano	2	0	0	2	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Sociedad	4	2	1	1	+1	7
3	Sevilla	3	2	0	1	+6	6
4	Alaves	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Barcelona	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Real Madrid	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Girona	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Ath Madrid	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Vallecano	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Huesca	4	1	1	2	-8	4
11	Levante	2	1	0	1	+2	3
12	Celta	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Valladolid	3	0	3	0	+0	3
14	Getafe	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Betis	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Valencia	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Ath Bilbao	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Espanol	3	0	1	2	-2	1
19	Eibar	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	Leganes	3	0	0	3	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.