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La Liga

Referee: Santiago Jaime Latre

Barcelona

S S S U T

1–1

Full-time

Ath Bilbao

S U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Ath Bilbao

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,0

2,8

Scored

2,8

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,5

This season — La Liga · 6/5 matches

Win Ø 44%

67%

20%

Points per game

2,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 82%

83%

80%

Both score Ø 74%

67%

80%

Average goals

4,0

3,2

Scored

2,8

1,4

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

70% Possession 30%

20 Shots 8

8 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 7

4 Corners 3

2 Offside 3

9 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Barcelona 1. · Ath Bilbao 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	6	4	1	1	+10	13
2	Real Madrid	6	4	1	1	+6	13
3	Ath Madrid	6	3	2	1	+4	11
4	Alaves	6	3	2	1	+3	11
5	Espanol	7	3	2	2	+2	11
6	Sevilla	6	3	1	2	+7	10
7	Celta	6	2	3	1	+2	9
8	Betis	6	2	3	1	-1	9
9	Villarreal	6	2	2	2	+2	8
10	Getafe	6	2	2	2	+0	8
11	Sociedad	7	2	2	3	-1	8
12	Valencia	7	1	5	1	-1	8
13	Girona	6	2	2	2	-2	8
14	Eibar	6	2	1	3	-2	7
15	Valladolid	6	1	3	2	-1	6
16	Ath Bilbao	5	1	3	1	-2	6
17	Vallecano	6	1	2	3	-7	5
18	Levante	6	1	1	4	-4	4
19	Leganes	6	1	1	4	-5	4
20	Huesca	6	1	1	4	-10	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Espanol	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Barcelona	3	2	1	0	+9	7
4	Ath Madrid	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Eibar	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Celta	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	Alaves	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Ath Bilbao	4	1	2	1	-2	5
9	Sevilla	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Leganes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Getafe	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Betis	3	1	1	1	-2	4
13	Girona	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Valencia	3	0	3	0	+0	3
15	Valladolid	3	1	0	2	-1	3
16	Sociedad	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Villarreal	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Levante	3	0	1	2	-5	1
19	Vallecano	3	0	1	2	-7	1
20	Huesca	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Sociedad	4	2	1	1	+1	7
3	Sevilla	3	2	0	1	+6	6
4	Alaves	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Barcelona	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Betis	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Valencia	4	1	2	1	-1	5
8	Girona	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Real Madrid	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Celta	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Ath Madrid	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Getafe	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Vallecano	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Huesca	4	1	1	2	-8	4
15	Levante	3	1	0	2	+1	3
16	Valladolid	3	0	3	0	+0	3
17	Espanol	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Ath Bilbao	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Eibar	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	Leganes	3	0	0	3	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.