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Eredivisie
Referee: Pol van Boekel
Den Haag
T U U S T
1–1
Full-time
NAC Breda
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Den Haag NAC Breda
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,8
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
2,2
2,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,5
This season — Eredivisie · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 22%
33%
11%
Points per game
1,2
0,4
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
56%
78%
Both score Ø 56%
67%
44%
Average goals
3,7
3,7
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
2,2
2,6
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

50% Possession 50%
17 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 1
1 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Den Haag 9. · NAC Breda 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 9 9 0 0 +33 27
2 Ajax 9 7 1 1 +21 22
3 Feyenoord 9 6 2 1 +10 20
4 Heracles 9 6 1 2 +4 19
5 VVV Venlo 10 4 3 3 +1 15
6 AZ Alkmaar 9 3 3 3 +3 12
7 Excelsior 9 3 3 3 -2 12
8 Utrecht 9 3 3 3 -2 12
9 Den Haag 9 3 2 4 -7 11
10 Willem II 9 2 4 3 -1 10
11 Heerenveen 9 2 4 3 -2 10
12 For Sittard 9 2 4 3 -2 10
13 Zwolle 9 3 1 5 -5 10
14 Vitesse 8 2 3 3 -1 9
15 FC Emmen 10 2 3 5 -14 9
16 De Graafschap 9 2 1 6 -13 7
17 Groningen 8 1 1 6 -10 4
18 NAC Breda 9 1 1 7 -13 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Den Haag NAC Breda
12′
L. Ilić 0–1
1–1 A. El Khayati
E. Hooi
17′
21′
🟨 Gianluca Nijholt
Half-time 1–1
E. Falkenburg 🔁
↦ T. Necid
66′
75′
🔁 G. Korte
↦ M. Rosheuvel
81′
🟨 Menno Koch
T. Goppel 🔁
↦ S. Becker
83′
M. Lorenzen 🔁
↦ E. Hooi
86′
88′
🔁 A. Verschueren
↦ G. Nijholt
88′
🔁 M. Reuvers
↦ L. Ilić
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Den Haag

4-3-3
1 I. Groothuizen G
4 T. Beugelsdijk D
5 W. Kanon D
3 G. Troupée D
19 S. Pinas D
10 L. Immers M
2 D. Malone M
23 A. El Khayati M
9 T. Necid F
77 E. Hooi F
7 S. Becker F
Bench (10)
30 E. Falkenburg
26 T. Goppel
33 M. Lorenzen
6 D. Gorter
11 J. Goossens
15 B. Kuipers
18 M. Havekotte
20 N. Kuipers
22 R. Zwinkels
25 R. Polley

Coach: A. Groenendijk

NAC Breda

4-2-3-1
1 B. van Leer G
5 K. Mets D
4 M. Koch D
2 F. Sporkslede D
15 J. Carolina D
28 G. Nijholt M
27 A. Kali M
8 M. El Allouchi M
40 L. Ilić
17 M. Rosheuvel M
9 M. te Vrede F
Bench (10)
7 G. Korte
6 A. Verschueren
20 M. Reuvers
14 E. Palmer-Brown
16 T. Zwarthoed
21 G. Leigh
22 R. Haemhouts
26 K. Niemczycki
29 S. van Hooijdonk
41 J. van Hecke

Coach: M. van der Gaag

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Pol van Boekel · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
15,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.