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La Liga
Referee: Santiago Jaime Latre
Villarreal
U T U T S
0–0
Full-time
Valencia
S U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Valencia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
This season — La Liga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 13%
25%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
25%
25%
Both score Ø 38%
25%
50%
Average goals
1,3
2,0
Scored
0,5
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
11 Shots 11
1 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Villarreal 14. · Valencia 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 5 4 1 0 +9 13
2 Barcelona 4 4 0 0 +11 12
3 Alaves 5 3 1 1 +3 10
4 Celta 5 2 2 1 +2 8
5 Ath Madrid 5 2 2 1 +1 8
6 Sevilla 5 2 1 2 +4 7
7 Espanol 5 2 1 2 +1 7
8 Sociedad 5 2 1 2 +0 7
9 Getafe 5 2 1 2 +0 7
10 Eibar 5 2 1 2 -1 7
11 Girona 4 2 1 1 -1 7
12 Ath Bilbao 3 1 2 0 +1 5
13 Betis 4 1 2 1 -2 5
14 Villarreal 4 1 1 2 -1 4
15 Levante 5 1 1 3 -3 4
16 Huesca 5 1 1 3 -7 4
17 Valladolid 5 0 3 2 -2 3
18 Valencia 4 0 3 1 -2 3
19 Vallecano 4 1 0 3 -7 3
20 Leganes 5 0 1 4 -6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Villarreal Valencia
22′
🟨 Mouctar Diakhaby
Jaume Costa 🟨
38′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 M. Batshuayi
↦ Santi Mina
56′
🔁 Gonçalo Guedes
↦ Ferrán Torres
58′
🟥 Dani Parejo
61′
🔁 F. Coquelin
↦ K. Gameiro
Miguel Layún 🟨
63′
Alfonso Pedraza 🔁
↦ Pablo Fornals
67′
Santi Cazorla 🔁
↦ Jaume Costa
73′
K. Toko Ekambi 🔁
↦ C. Bacca
81′
Ramiro Funes Mori 🟨
84′
Mario Gaspar 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Villarreal

4-4-2
1 Sergio Asenjo G
2 Mario Gaspar D
11 Jaume Costa D
6 Víctor Ruíz D
24 M. Layún D
4 Ramiro Funes Mori D
3 Álvaro González D
14 Trigueros M
8 Pablo Fornals M
9 C. Bacca F
7 Gerard Moreno F
Bench (7)
16 Alfonso Pedraza
19 Santi Cazorla
17 K. Toko Ekambi
10 N. Sansone
13 Andrés Fernández
20 M. Iturra
28 Manu Morlanes

Coach: Javi Calleja

Valencia

4-4-2
13 Neto G
5 Gabriel Paulista D
21 C. Piccini D
14 José Gayá D
12 M. Diakhaby D
10 Dani Parejo M
11 D. Cheryshev M
8 Carlos Soler M
20 Ferrán Torres M
9 K. Gameiro F
22 Santi Mina F
Bench (7)
23 M. Batshuayi
7 Gonçalo Guedes
17 F. Coquelin
1 Jaume Doménech
4 J. Murillo
15 Toni Lato
19 Rodrigo

Coach: Marcelino

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Santiago Jaime Latre · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.