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Ligue 1
Referee: J Miguelgorry
Monaco
U T T T T
2–2
Full-time
Dijon
U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Dijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,3
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
0,7
0,3
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,7
This season — Ligue 1 · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 20%
10%
30%
Points per game
0,6
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
50%
60%
Both score Ø 50%
70%
30%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

46% Possession 54%
12 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Monaco 19. · Dijon 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 10 10 0 0 +31 30
2 Lille 10 7 1 2 +11 22
3 Lyon 11 6 2 3 +5 20
4 Montpellier 10 5 4 1 +7 19
5 Marseille 10 6 1 3 +6 19
6 St Etienne 11 4 5 2 -1 17
7 Strasbourg 10 4 3 3 +4 15
8 Bordeaux 10 4 2 4 +0 14
9 Toulouse 10 3 4 3 -6 13
10 Angers 11 3 3 5 -2 12
11 Rennes 10 3 3 4 -2 12
12 Caen 10 2 5 3 -3 11
13 Nimes 11 2 5 4 -5 11
14 Reims 10 2 5 3 -5 11
15 Nice 10 3 2 5 -7 11
16 Dijon 10 3 1 6 -5 10
17 Amiens 10 3 1 6 -7 10
18 Nantes 10 2 3 5 -4 9
19 Monaco 10 1 3 6 -5 6
20 Guingamp 10 1 3 6 -12 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Monaco Dijon
1–0 B. Henrichs
A. Barreca
29′
33′
M. Alphonse 1–1
F. Balmont
Half-time 1–1
51′
🟨 Enzo Loiodice
Youri Tielemans 🟨
54′
Pelé 🔁
↦ J. Aholou
55′
57′
M. Abeid 1–2
V. Rosier
64′
🔁 J. Marié
↦ F. Balmont
70′
🔁 Júlio Tavares
↦ M. Abeid
Adama Traoré II 🔁
↦ Y. Tielemans
72′
2–2 K. Glik
Adama Traoré II
78′
Aleksandr Golovin 🟨
81′
83′
🔁 C. Yamberé
↦ B. Jeannot
90′
🟨 Júlio Tavares
90′
🟨 Jordan Marié
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Monaco

4-3-2-1
16 D. Benaglio G
25 K. Glik D
39 B. Henrichs D
5 Jemerson D
3 A. Barreca D
4 J. Aholou M
17 A. Golovin M
8 Y. Tielemans M
15 Y. Aït Bennasser M
34 M. Sylla F
36 S. Diop M
Bench (7)
28 Pelé
11 Adama Traoré II
20 N. Chadli
18 R. Pierre-Gabriel
40 L. Badiashile
32 B. Badiashile
22 Jordi Mboula

Coach: T. Henry

Dijon

4-1-4-1
1 R. Rúnarsson G
6 L. Ciman D
2 M. Alphonse D
24 W. Lautoa D
19 V. Rosier D
15 F. Balmont M
20 R. Amalfitano M
8 M. Abeid M
10 N. Sliti M
12 E. Loiodice M
29 B. Jeannot F
Bench (7)
14 J. Marié
11 Júlio Tavares
18 C. Yamberé
5 O. Haddadi
16 B. Allain
23 J. Keita
9 W. Saïd

Coach: O. Dall’Oglio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Miguelgorry · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.