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Ligue 1
Referee: W Delajod
Guingamp
T U S U U
1–1
Full-time
Strasbourg
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Strasbourg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
1,8
3,5
Scored
0,5
2,2
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,8
This season — Ligue 1 · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 25%
10%
40%
Points per game
0,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
60%
60%
Both score Ø 60%
50%
70%
Average goals
2,4
3,2
Scored
0,6
1,8
Conceded
1,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%
10 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 5
10 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Guingamp 20. · Strasbourg 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 10 10 0 0 +31 30
2 Lille 10 7 1 2 +11 22
3 Lyon 11 6 2 3 +5 20
4 Montpellier 10 5 4 1 +7 19
5 Marseille 10 6 1 3 +6 19
6 St Etienne 11 4 5 2 -1 17
7 Strasbourg 10 4 3 3 +4 15
8 Bordeaux 10 4 2 4 +0 14
9 Toulouse 10 3 4 3 -6 13
10 Angers 11 3 3 5 -2 12
11 Rennes 10 3 3 4 -2 12
12 Caen 10 2 5 3 -3 11
13 Nimes 11 2 5 4 -5 11
14 Reims 10 2 5 3 -5 11
15 Nice 10 3 2 5 -7 11
16 Dijon 10 3 1 6 -5 10
17 Amiens 10 3 1 6 -7 10
18 Nantes 10 2 3 5 -4 9
19 Monaco 10 1 3 6 -5 6
20 Guingamp 10 1 3 6 -12 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.