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Bundesliga

Referee: Frank Willenborg

Hoffenheim

U S T T S

4–0

Full-time

Stuttgart

U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hoffenheim Stuttgart

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,2

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,5

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,2

This season — Bundesliga · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 26%

38%

13%

Points per game

1,3

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 76%

88%

63%

Both score Ø 69%

100%

38%

Average goals

3,4

2,9

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

1,6

2,1

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

74% Possession 26%

23 Shots 6

10 Shots on target 0

3 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Hoffenheim 11. · Stuttgart 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	9	6	3	0	+19	21
2	Bayern Munich	9	6	1	2	+7	19
3	M'gladbach	9	5	2	2	+8	17
4	Werder Bremen	8	5	2	1	+7	17
5	Hertha	9	4	4	1	+5	16
6	RB Leipzig	8	4	3	1	+7	15
7	Ein Frankfurt	8	4	1	3	+7	13
8	Augsburg	9	3	3	3	+2	12
9	Wolfsburg	9	3	3	3	+0	12
10	Freiburg	9	3	3	3	-2	12
11	Hoffenheim	8	3	1	4	+1	10
12	Mainz	9	2	3	4	-5	9
13	Leverkusen	8	2	2	4	-6	8
14	Nurnberg	8	2	2	4	-11	8
15	Schalke 04	8	2	0	6	-6	6
16	Hannover	9	1	3	5	-7	6
17	Stuttgart	8	1	2	5	-11	5
18	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	1	2	6	-15	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	5	4	1	0	+13	13
2	M'gladbach	4	4	0	0	+9	12
3	RB Leipzig	4	3	1	0	+9	10
4	Hertha	4	3	1	0	+5	10
5	Werder Bremen	4	2	2	0	+4	8
6	Freiburg	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Mainz	5	2	2	1	+1	8
8	Ein Frankfurt	4	2	1	1	+8	7
9	Nurnberg	4	2	1	1	+3	7
10	Bayern Munich	4	2	1	1	+1	7
11	Augsburg	4	1	2	1	+2	5
12	Wolfsburg	5	1	2	2	-3	5
13	Hoffenheim	4	1	1	2	+0	4
14	Hannover	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Leverkusen	4	1	1	2	-3	4
16	Stuttgart	4	1	1	2	-6	4
17	Schalke 04	4	1	0	3	-5	3
18	Fortuna Dusseldorf	5	1	0	4	-6	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	5	4	0	1	+6	12
2	Werder Bremen	4	3	0	1	+3	9
3	Dortmund	4	2	2	0	+6	8
4	Wolfsburg	4	2	1	1	+3	7
5	Augsburg	5	2	1	2	+0	7
6	Hoffenheim	4	2	0	2	+1	6
7	Hertha	5	1	3	1	+0	6
8	Ein Frankfurt	4	2	0	2	-1	6
9	M'gladbach	5	1	2	2	-1	5
10	RB Leipzig	4	1	2	1	-2	5
11	Freiburg	4	1	1	2	-3	4
12	Leverkusen	4	1	1	2	-3	4
13	Schalke 04	4	1	0	3	-1	3
14	Hannover	5	0	2	3	-6	2
15	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	0	2	2	-9	2
16	Stuttgart	4	0	1	3	-5	1
17	Mainz	4	0	1	3	-6	1
18	Nurnberg	4	0	1	3	-14	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.