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Bundesliga
Referee: Robert Kampka
Hannover
T T T S U
1–2
Full-time
Augsburg
T U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hannover Augsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
4,0
3,7
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
2,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
This season — Bundesliga · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 19%
13%
25%
Points per game
0,8
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
63%
63%
Both score Ø 82%
75%
88%
Average goals
3,3
3,4
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
2,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%
17 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 4
15 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hannover 15. · Augsburg 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 8 6 2 0 +19 20
2 M'gladbach 9 5 2 2 +8 17
3 Werder Bremen 8 5 2 1 +7 17
4 Bayern Munich 8 5 1 2 +6 16
5 RB Leipzig 8 4 3 1 +7 15
6 Hertha 8 4 3 1 +5 15
7 Ein Frankfurt 8 4 1 3 +7 13
8 Freiburg 9 3 3 3 -2 12
9 Hoffenheim 8 3 1 4 +1 10
10 Augsburg 8 2 3 3 +1 9
11 Wolfsburg 8 2 3 3 -3 9
12 Mainz 8 2 3 3 -4 9
13 Leverkusen 8 2 2 4 -6 8
14 Nurnberg 8 2 2 4 -11 8
15 Hannover 8 1 3 4 -6 6
16 Schalke 04 8 2 0 6 -6 6
17 Stuttgart 8 1 2 5 -11 5
18 Fortuna Dusseldorf 8 1 2 5 -12 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hannover Augsburg
8′
R. Khedira 0–1
21′
🟨 Marco Richter
Half-time 0–1
F. Muslija 🔁
↦ P. Schwegler
46′
46′
🔁 M. Gregoritsch
↦ M. Richter
Genki Haraguchi 🟨
62′
63′
A. Finnbogason 0–2
H. Weydandt 🔁
↦ J. Elez
65′
68′
🔁 F. Jensen
↦ Koo Ja-Cheol
1–2 I. Bebou
72′
Florent Muslija 🟨
74′
75′
🔁 K. Danso
↦ A. Finnbogason
76′
🟨 Daniel Baier
81′
🟨 Kevin Danso
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Hannover

3-4-2-1
23 M. Esser G
3 M. Albornoz D
28 K. Wimmer D
2 J. Elez D
31 W. Anton D
27 P. Schwegler M
10 G. Haraguchi M
8 Walace M
17 B. Wood F
24 N. Füllkrug F
13 I. Bebou M
Bench (7)
35 F. Muslija
26 H. Weydandt
1 P. Tschauner
11 T. Asano
18 I. Fossum
22 M. Ostrzolek
25 O. Sorg

Coach: A. Breitenreiter

Augsburg

4-2-3-1
1 A. Luthe G
36 M. Hinteregger D
6 J. Gouweleeuw D
31 P. Max D
10 D. Baier M
28 A. Hahn F
17 J. Schmid M
19 Koo Ja-Cheol M
8 R. Khedira M
27 A. Finnbogason F
23 M. Richter M
Bench (7)
11 M. Gregoritsch
24 F. Jensen
38 K. Danso
4 F. Götze
14 J. Morávek
32 R. Framberger
39 B. Leneis

Coach: M. Baum

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Robert Kampka · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
30,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,03 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.