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La Liga

Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano

Ath Bilbao

U S T T S

2–1

Full-time

Valencia

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Valencia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,7

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,0

3,3

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

0,8

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,3

This season — La Liga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,7

4,0

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

1,0

2,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

46% Possession 54%

13 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 1

1 Offside 2

20 Free kicks against 20

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 14. · Valencia 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	4	3	0	1	+8	9
2	Real Madrid	3	3	0	0	+7	9
3	Las Palmas	4	3	0	1	+6	9
4	Ath Madrid	4	2	2	0	+9	8
5	Sevilla	4	2	2	0	+3	8
6	Eibar	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Sp Gijon	4	2	1	1	-3	7
8	Villarreal	3	1	2	0	+2	5
9	Alaves	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Betis	4	1	2	1	-3	5
11	La Coruna	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Sociedad	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Leganes	4	1	1	2	-4	4
14	Ath Bilbao	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Espanol	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Malaga	4	0	2	2	-3	2
17	Granada	4	0	2	2	-5	2
18	Osasuna	4	0	2	2	-5	2
19	Celta	4	0	1	3	-6	1
20	Valencia	3	0	0	3	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Las Palmas	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Sevilla	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Sp Gijon	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+5	4
6	Eibar	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Barcelona	2	1	0	1	+3	3
8	La Coruna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Betis	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Espanol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Villarreal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Alaves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Granada	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Malaga	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Osasuna	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Sociedad	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Leganes	2	0	1	1	-4	1
18	Ath Bilbao	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Valencia	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Celta	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+4	4
3	Villarreal	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Alaves	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Las Palmas	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Eibar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Leganes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Ath Bilbao	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Betis	2	1	0	1	-3	3
12	Sevilla	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	La Coruna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Malaga	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Celta	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Espanol	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Osasuna	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Granada	2	0	1	1	-4	1
19	Sp Gijon	2	0	1	1	-5	1
20	Valencia	1	0	0	1	-1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.