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Serie A

Referee: Rosario Abisso

Atalanta

U U T T S

3–0

Full-time

Parma

S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atalanta Parma

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,5

2,2

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,2

This season — Serie A · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 33%

22%

44%

Points per game

1,0

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

44%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,9

2,3

Scored

1,6

1,1

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

66% Possession 34%

30 Shots 14

12 Shots on target 2

8 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 10

6 Corners 6

1 Offside 4

7 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Atalanta 15. · Parma 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	9	8	1	0	+13	25
2	Napoli	9	7	0	2	+8	21
3	Inter	9	6	1	2	+7	19
4	Lazio	9	6	0	3	+4	18
5	Sampdoria	9	4	3	2	+8	15
6	Fiorentina	9	4	2	3	+8	14
7	Roma	9	4	2	3	+4	14
8	Sassuolo	9	4	2	3	+1	14
9	Torino	9	3	4	2	+0	13
10	Parma	9	4	1	4	-1	13
11	Genoa	8	4	1	3	-2	13
12	Milan	8	3	3	2	+4	12
13	Spal	9	4	0	5	-2	12
14	Cagliari	9	2	4	3	-3	10
15	Atalanta	9	2	3	4	+2	9
16	Udinese	9	2	2	5	-5	8
17	Bologna	9	2	2	5	-6	8
18	Empoli	9	1	3	5	-5	6
19	Chievo	9	0	2	7	-17	2
20	Frosinone	9	0	2	7	-18	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fiorentina	5	4	1	0	+11	13
2	Juventus	5	4	1	0	+7	13
3	Napoli	4	4	0	0	+7	12
4	Inter	5	3	1	1	+3	10
5	Lazio	4	3	0	1	+4	9
6	Sassuolo	4	3	0	1	+2	9
7	Genoa	4	3	0	1	+2	9
8	Roma	5	2	2	1	+4	8
9	Sampdoria	5	2	2	1	+3	8
10	Milan	3	2	1	0	+3	7
11	Parma	5	2	1	2	+0	7
12	Bologna	5	2	1	2	-1	7
13	Cagliari	4	1	3	0	+2	6
14	Spal	4	2	0	2	+0	6
15	Torino	4	2	0	2	-1	6
16	Atalanta	4	1	1	2	+2	4
17	Empoli	4	1	1	2	-1	4
18	Udinese	5	1	1	3	-5	4
19	Frosinone	5	0	2	3	-8	2
20	Chievo	5	0	1	4	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	4	4	0	0	+6	12
2	Inter	4	3	0	1	+4	9
3	Napoli	5	3	0	2	+1	9
4	Lazio	5	3	0	2	+0	9
5	Sampdoria	4	2	1	1	+5	7
6	Torino	5	1	4	0	+1	7
7	Roma	4	2	0	2	+0	6
8	Parma	4	2	0	2	-1	6
9	Spal	5	2	0	3	-2	6
10	Milan	5	1	2	2	+1	5
11	Atalanta	5	1	2	2	+0	5
12	Sassuolo	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Udinese	4	1	1	2	+0	4
14	Genoa	4	1	1	2	-4	4
15	Cagliari	5	1	1	3	-5	4
16	Empoli	5	0	2	3	-4	2
17	Fiorentina	4	0	1	3	-3	1
18	Bologna	4	0	1	3	-5	1
19	Chievo	4	0	1	3	-9	1
20	Frosinone	4	0	0	4	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.