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Championship

Referee: Darren Bond

Birmingham

U U S S S

3–1

Full-time

Sheffield Weds

U U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Birmingham Sheffield Weds

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,3

This season — Championship · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 33%

29%

36%

Points per game

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

43%

79%

Both score Ø 72%

57%

86%

Average goals

2,1

3,1

Scored

1,1

1,4

Conceded

0,9

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

37% Possession 63%

16 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 4

7 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

10 Corners 6

2 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Birmingham 12. · Sheffield Weds 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Middlesbrough	15	7	6	2	+9	27
2	Sheffield United	14	8	2	4	+7	26
3	Derby	14	7	4	3	+9	25
4	West Brom	14	7	3	4	+10	24
5	Norwich	14	7	3	4	+2	24
6	Leeds	13	6	5	2	+11	23
7	QPR	15	7	2	6	-4	23
8	Nott'm Forest	14	5	7	2	+6	22
9	Bristol City	14	6	4	4	+4	22
10	Blackburn	14	5	6	3	-2	21
11	Swansea	14	5	5	4	+4	20
12	Birmingham	14	4	8	2	+3	20
13	Wigan	14	6	2	6	-2	20
14	Sheffield Weds	14	5	4	5	-3	19
15	Brentford	14	4	6	4	+4	18
16	Aston Villa	15	4	6	5	-1	18
17	Stoke	14	4	5	5	-2	17
18	Bolton	14	4	4	6	-8	16
19	Preston	14	3	4	7	-5	13
20	Millwall	14	3	4	7	-7	13
21	Rotherham	14	3	4	7	-10	13
22	Reading	14	3	3	8	-4	12
23	Hull	14	2	3	9	-10	9
24	Ipswich	14	1	6	7	-11	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wigan	7	5	2	0	+5	17
2	West Brom	7	5	0	2	+10	15
3	Middlesbrough	8	4	3	1	+5	15
4	Brentford	7	4	2	1	+8	14
5	Leeds	7	4	2	1	+8	14
6	Derby	6	4	2	0	+7	14
7	Sheffield United	7	4	2	1	+5	14
8	QPR	8	4	1	3	+2	13
9	Aston Villa	7	3	3	1	+3	12
10	Nott'm Forest	7	3	3	1	+2	12
11	Rotherham	7	3	3	1	+2	12
12	Norwich	7	4	0	3	+0	12
13	Preston	7	3	2	2	+4	11
14	Swansea	7	3	2	2	+4	11
15	Birmingham	7	2	5	0	+3	11
16	Bristol City	7	3	2	2	+2	11
17	Millwall	7	3	2	2	+1	11
18	Sheffield Weds	7	2	4	1	+1	10
19	Blackburn	7	2	4	1	+0	10
20	Stoke	7	3	1	3	+0	10
21	Bolton	7	2	1	4	-6	7
22	Reading	7	2	0	5	+0	6
23	Hull	7	1	2	4	-3	5
24	Ipswich	7	0	5	2	-4	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Middlesbrough	7	3	3	1	+4	12
2	Sheffield United	7	4	0	3	+2	12
3	Norwich	7	3	3	1	+2	12
4	Derby	8	3	2	3	+2	11
5	Bristol City	7	3	2	2	+2	11
6	Blackburn	7	3	2	2	-2	11
7	Nott'm Forest	7	2	4	1	+4	10
8	QPR	7	3	1	3	-6	10
9	Leeds	6	2	3	1	+3	9
10	West Brom	7	2	3	2	+0	9
11	Birmingham	7	2	3	2	+0	9
12	Swansea	7	2	3	2	+0	9
13	Bolton	7	2	3	2	-2	9
14	Sheffield Weds	7	3	0	4	-4	9
15	Stoke	7	1	4	2	-2	7
16	Reading	7	1	3	3	-4	6
17	Aston Villa	8	1	3	4	-4	6
18	Brentford	7	0	4	3	-4	4
19	Ipswich	7	1	1	5	-7	4
20	Hull	7	1	1	5	-7	4
21	Wigan	7	1	0	6	-7	3
22	Millwall	7	0	2	5	-8	2
23	Preston	7	0	2	5	-9	2
24	Rotherham	7	0	1	6	-12	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.