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Eliteserien
Referee: Tommy Skjerven
Stromsgodset
T U T T T
3–2
Full-time
Valerenga
T U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Valerenga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
0,7
2,0
Conceded
2,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+0,5
This season — Eliteserien · 16/15 matches
Win Ø 30%
13%
47%
Points per game
0,6
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
56%
47%
Both score Ø 55%
56%
53%
Average goals
2,9
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,9
Conceded
1,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%
17 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stromsgodset 16. · Valerenga 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 17 11 3 3 +23 36
2 Bodo/Glimt 16 11 2 3 +13 35
3 Odd 17 10 3 4 +6 33
4 Brann 17 8 5 4 +6 29
5 Rosenborg 17 8 4 5 +5 28
6 Valerenga 15 7 4 4 +10 25
7 Kristiansund 16 6 5 5 +2 23
8 Haugesund 17 5 6 6 +5 21
9 Viking 16 5 4 7 -6 19
10 Lillestrom 16 5 3 8 -7 18
11 Ranheim 17 5 3 9 -11 18
12 Mjondalen 16 3 8 5 -4 17
13 Tromso 17 5 2 10 -16 17
14 Stabaek 16 4 4 8 -7 16
15 Sarpsborg 08 16 2 8 6 -5 14
16 Stromsgodset 16 2 4 10 -14 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stromsgodset Valerenga
1–0 Lars Christopher Vilsvik
39′
Half-time 1–0
Muhammed Keita 🔁
↦ Mostafa Abdellaoue
46′
2–0 Muhammed Keita
Mikkel Maigaard
49′
51′
Aron Dønnum 2–1
Felix Horn Myhre
52′
🔁 Mohammed Abu
↦ Felix Horn Myhre
Johan Hove 🔁
↦ Jack Ipalibo
60′
3–1 Muhammed Keita
62′
70′
🔁 Deyver Vega
↦ Bard Finne
71′
Johan Bjørdal 3–2
Aron Dønnum
Duplexe Tchamba 🟨
83′
85′
🔁 Christian Dahle Borchgrevink
↦ Efrain Juarez
Lars Saetra 🔁
↦ Muhammed Keita
88′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Stromsgodset

4-3-3
35 Martin Hansen G
26 Lars Christopher Vilsvik D
5 Jakob Glesnes D
4 Duplexe Tchamba D
22 Prosper Mendy D
20 Mikkel Maigaard M
42 Jack Ipalibo M
7 Herman Stengel M
11 Kristoffer Tokstad F
30 Mostafa Abdellaoue F
10 Moses Dramwi Mawa F
Bench (7)
1 Viljar Myhra
3 Jonathan Parr
39 Lars Saetra
77 Muhammed Keita
8 Johan Hove
18 Martin Ovenstad
56 Mustapha Fofana

Coach: H. Pedersen

Valerenga

4-2-3-1
13 Kristoffer Klaesson G
5 Efrain Juarez D
3 Johan Bjørdal D
22 Ivan Nasberg D
25 Sam Adekugbe D
8 Magnus Lekven M
6 Herolind Shala M
26 Aron Dønnum M
10 Matthías Vilhjálmsson M
23 Felix Horn Myhre M
11 Bard Finne F
Bench (7)
1 Kjetil Haug
2 Markus Nakkim
29 Magnus Grødem
18 Christian Dahle Borchgrevink
14 Mohammed Abu
16 Erik Israelsson
7 Deyver Vega

Coach: R. Deila

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tommy Skjerven · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.