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Eliteserien
Referee: Kai Erik Steen
Valerenga
U T S T S
2–1
Full-time
Molde
S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Molde
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,5
Scored
2,2
2,0
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,5
This season — Eliteserien · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 56%
47%
65%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 77%
65%
88%
Both score Ø 68%
71%
65%
Average goals
2,9
3,8
Scored
1,6
2,6
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%
23 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 6
11 Blocked shots 0
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Valerenga 5. · Molde 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 17 15 2 0 +43 47
2 Molde 17 11 1 5 +25 34
3 Odd 17 10 1 6 +6 31
4 Rosenborg 17 8 5 4 +14 29
5 Valerenga 17 8 5 4 +4 29
6 Kristiansund 17 7 6 4 +10 27
7 Stabaek 17 5 7 5 -3 22
8 Viking 17 6 4 7 -4 22
9 Brann 17 6 4 7 -5 22
10 Haugesund 17 6 3 8 -7 21
11 Sarpsborg 08 17 6 2 9 -6 20
12 Stromsgodset 17 5 5 7 -9 20
13 Sandefjord 17 6 1 10 -10 19
14 Start 17 3 6 8 -16 15
15 Mjondalen 17 4 2 11 -15 14
16 Aalesund 17 1 4 12 -27 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valerenga Molde
1–0 V. Kjartansson
C. Borchgrevink
21′
23′
🟨 Eirik Andersen
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Ellingsen
↦ M. Bjørnbak
47′
🟥 John Kitolano
51′
🔁 H. Wingo
↦ T. Christensen
Christian Dahle Borchgrevink 🟨
58′
H. Shala 🔁
↦ M. Lekven
60′
61′
🔁 M. Bolly
↦ E. Andersen
F. Myhre 🔁
↦ C. Borchgrevink
66′
B. Finne 🔁
↦ O. Sahraoui
79′
M. Vilhjálmsson 🔁
↦ V. Kjartansson
79′
83′
🔁 E. Knudtzon
↦ O. Brynhildsen
83′
🔁 E. Hestad
↦ E. Hussain
2–0 A. Dønnum
B. Finne
83′
95′
H. Wingo 2–1
E. Hestad
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Valerenga

4-3-3
13 K. Klaesson G
4 J. Nation D
22 I. Näsberg D
25 S. Adekugbe D
2 C. Borchgrevink D
8 M. Lekven M
14 F. Jensen M
7 H. Bjørdal M
9 A. Dønnum F
26 O. Sahraoui F
24 V. Kjartansson F
Bench (8)
6 H. Shala
23 F. Myhre
11 B. Finne
10 M. Vilhjálmsson
15 O. Holm
3 J. Bjørdal
1 K. Haug
20 B. Stokke

Coach: D. Fagermo

Molde

4-2-3-1
1 A. Linde G
2 M. Bjørnbak D
25 J. Kitolano D
5 S. Sinyan D
27 M. Pedersen D
16 E. Hussain M
23 E. Andersen M
17 F. Aursnes M
15 T. Christensen M
22 O. Brynhildsen M
99 O. Omoijuanfo F
Bench (9)
11 M. Ellingsen
20 H. Wingo
30 M. Bolly
14 E. Knudtzon
19 E. Hestad
7 M. Eikrem
9 M. Moström
10 L. James
12 Á. Craninx

Coach: E. Moe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Kai Erik Steen · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.