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Eliteserien
Referee: Tom Harald Hagen
Valerenga
S U S U S
2–0
Full-time
Stromsgodset
T U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Stromsgodset
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
2,2
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,5
This season — Eliteserien · 8/7 matches
Win Ø 32%
50%
14%
Points per game
1,8
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
38%
57%
Both score Ø 67%
63%
71%
Average goals
3,1
2,9
Scored
1,9
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%
20 Shots 3
10 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 8
6 Corners 1
3 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valerenga 5. · Stromsgodset 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 9 6 1 2 +11 19
2 Odd 8 6 1 1 +6 19
3 Bodo/Glimt 8 5 2 1 +7 17
4 Kristiansund 9 5 1 3 +1 16
5 Valerenga 8 4 2 2 +5 14
6 Viking 8 4 2 2 +4 14
7 Brann 9 4 2 3 +1 14
8 Haugesund 8 3 2 3 +4 11
9 Mjondalen 8 2 3 3 -2 9
10 Lillestrom 8 2 3 3 -5 9
11 Sarpsborg 08 8 1 4 3 -2 7
12 Ranheim 8 2 1 5 -5 7
13 Stabaek 8 2 1 5 -7 7
14 Stromsgodset 7 1 3 3 -2 6
15 Rosenborg 8 1 3 4 -8 6
16 Tromso 8 1 1 6 -8 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valerenga Stromsgodset
1–0 Aron Dønnum
Efrain Juarez
25′
34′
🟨 Yacouba Sylla
Half-time 1–0
54′
🔁 Martin Ovenstad
↦ Amahl Pellegrino
64′
🔁 Muhammed Keita
↦ Henning Hauger
Bard Finne 🔁
↦ Fitim Azemi
65′
2–0 Herolind Shala
67′
79′
🔁 Sebastian Pedersen
↦ Mostafa Abdellaoue
Felix Horn Myhre 🔁
↦ Aron Dønnum
81′
85′
🟨 Martin Spelmann
Sakarias Opsahl 🔁
↦ Chidera Ejuke
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Valerenga

4-2-3-1
21 Adam Kwarasey G
5 Efrain Juarez D
3 Johan Bjørdal D
4 Jonatan Nation D
22 Ivan Nasberg D
8 Magnus Lekven M
6 Herolind Shala M
26 Aron Dønnum M
10 Matthías Vilhjálmsson M
40 Chidera Ejuke M
9 Fitim Azemi F
Bench (7)
1 Kjetil Haug
2 Markus Nakkim
24 Oskar Opsahl
23 Felix Horn Myhre
20 Sakarias Opsahl
11 Bard Finne
36 Sander Haugaard Werni

Coach: R. Deila

Stromsgodset

4-3-3
1 Viljar Myhra G
26 Lars Christopher Vilsvik D
5 Jakob Glesnes D
2 Mounir Hamoud D
25 Stian Ringstad D
6 Henning Hauger M
29 Yacouba Sylla M
7 Herman Stengel M
23 Martin Spelmann F
30 Mostafa Abdellaoue F
90 Amahl Pellegrino F
Bench (7)
40 Morten Saetra
39 Lars Saetra
8 Johan Hove
77 Muhammed Keita
18 Martin Ovenstad
19 Halldor Stenevik
9 Sebastian Pedersen

Coach: B. Ingebretsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Tom Harald Hagen · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.