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Eliteserien
Referee: Tommy Skjerven
Valerenga
S T S S T
1–4
Full-time
Stromsgodset
S S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Stromsgodset
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
3,0
4,2
Scored
1,2
2,5
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,8
This season — Eliteserien · 3/2 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

50% Possession 50%
9 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 3
1 Offside 5
14 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valerenga 4. · Stromsgodset 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 3 3 0 0 +7 9
2 Sarpsborg 08 3 2 1 0 +4 7
3 Haugesund 3 2 0 1 +3 6
4 Valerenga 3 2 0 1 -1 6
5 Brann 2 1 1 0 +2 4
6 Kristiansund 3 1 1 1 +0 4
7 Start 2 1 0 1 +0 3
8 Sandefjord 2 1 0 1 -2 3
9 Bodo/Glimt 3 1 0 2 -3 3
10 Stromsgodset 2 0 2 0 +0 2
11 Rosenborg 3 0 2 1 -1 2
12 Odd 3 0 1 2 -2 1
13 Lillestrom 3 0 1 2 -3 1
14 Stabaek 2 0 1 1 -3 1
15 Tromso 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valerenga Stromsgodset
Ivan Nasberg 🟨
21′
26′
Marcus Pedersen 0–1
J. Parr
Half-time 1–1
1–1 C. Ejuke
M. Lekven
46′
48′
T. Nguen 1–2
B. Finne 🔁
↦ S. Juklerød
57′
E. Agyiri 🔁
↦ M. Lekven
57′
Adam Kwarasey 🟨
64′
65′
Marcus Pedersen 1–3
77′
🔁 Bassel Jradi
↦ K. Tokstad
F. Carvalho 🔁
↦ J. Nation
78′
84′
🔁 M. Abdellaoue
↦ Marcus Pedersen
88′
🔁 M. Hamoud
↦ J. Parr
96′
H. Stengel 1–4
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Valerenga

4-3-3
21 A. Kwarasey G
4 J. Nation D
33 A. Nouri D
22 I. Näsberg D
25 S. Adekugbe D
8 M. Lekven M
7 D. Holm M
17 S. Juklerød D
27 S. Friðjónsson M
10 S. Johnson F
40 C. Ejuke F
Bench (7)
11 B. Finne
14 E. Agyiri
5 F. Carvalho
1 M. Sandberg
6 A. Ibrahim
19 P. Michael
29 M. Grødem

Coach: R. Deila

Stromsgodset

4-3-3
1 E. Pettersen G
3 J. Parr D
26 L. Vilsvik D
28 M. Høibråten D
5 J. Glesnes D
6 H. Hauger M
11 K. Tokstad M
7 H. Stengel M
23 E. Andersen M
93 T. Nguen M
10 Marcus Pedersen F
Bench (7)
8 Bassel Jradi
30 M. Abdellaoue
2 M. Hamoud
39 L. Sætra
90 A. Pellegrino
19 Francisco Júnior
20 P. Heigre

Coach: T. Skullerud

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tommy Skjerven · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.