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Eliteserien
Referee: Dag Vidar Hafsaas
Aalesund
U T T T T
1–1
Full-time
Kristiansund
S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Kristiansund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,5
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
2,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,7
This season — Eliteserien · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 26%
24%
28%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
44%
40%
Both score Ø 58%
60%
56%
Average goals
2,8
2,9
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
20 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 3
8 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 2
4 Offside 5
8 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Aalesund 14. · Kristiansund 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 25 16 6 3 +34 54
2 Molde 25 13 5 7 +13 44
3 Sarpsborg 08 25 11 10 4 +9 43
4 Brann 25 11 7 7 +16 40
5 Haugesund 25 11 6 8 +3 39
6 Stromsgodset 25 10 8 7 +2 38
7 Odd 25 10 5 10 -7 35
8 Stabaek 25 9 7 9 -6 34
9 Valerenga 25 9 6 10 +0 33
10 Sandefjord 25 10 3 12 -6 33
11 Lillestrom 25 8 7 10 -5 31
12 Kristiansund 25 7 8 10 -5 29
13 Sogndal 25 7 6 12 -8 27
14 Aalesund 25 6 7 12 -9 25
15 Tromso 25 6 7 12 -15 25
16 Viking 25 4 6 15 -16 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalesund Kristiansund
Athanasios Papazoglou 🟨
41′
Half-time 0–0
58′
🟨 Amidou Diop
68′
🟨 Amidou Diop
68′
🟥 Amidou Diop
M. Abdellaoue 🔁
↦ A. Þrándarson
69′
B. Riise 🔁
↦ D. Grétarsson
76′
76′
🔁 J. Rønningen
↦ B. Stokke
86′
T. Gjertsen 0–1
V. Berisha 🔁
↦ A. Arnarson
87′
Adam Orn Arnarson 🟨
89′
91′
🔁 J. Mendy
↦ D. Bamba
1–1 V. Hoff
94′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Aalesund

4-2-3-1
1 A. Lie G
5 O. Lie D
2 M. Kirkeskov D
6 K. Ramsteijn D
22 A. Arnarson D
3 D. Grétarsson D
8 F. Carlsen M
14 E. Gyasi M
11 A. Þrándarson M
18 V. Hoff M
10 A. Papazoglou F
Bench (7)
30 M. Abdellaoue
21 B. Riise
9 V. Berisha
15 Marlinho
17 S. Fet
25 J. Urke
38 J. Hatlehol

Coach: T. Fredriksen

Kristiansund

4-4-2
1 S. McDermott G
5 D. Ulvestad M
3 C. Aasbak D
27 N. Baranov D
25 H. Gjesdal D
19 A. Hopmark D
8 P. Ulvestad
12 A. Diop M
20 B. Stokke F
11 D. Bamba F
7 T. Gjertsen M
Bench (7)
16 J. Rønningen
18 J. Mendy
22 O. Øby
9 L. Kalludra
10 S. Økland
13 A. Knezovic
24 S. Sørli

Coach: C. Michelsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Dag Vidar Hafsaas · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.