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Eliteserien
Referee: Kai Erik Steen
Kristiansund
T S T T U
7–2
Full-time
Aalesund
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kristiansund Aalesund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
This season — Eliteserien · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
0,0
5,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
0,0
4,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–2

51% Possession 49%
27 Shots 12
13 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kristiansund 9. · Aalesund 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Mjondalen 2 1 1 0 +1 4
3 Bodo/Glimt 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Brann 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Sandefjord 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Valerenga 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Start 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Stromsgodset 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Kristiansund 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Stabaek 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Rosenborg 2 0 1 1 -1 1
12 Haugesund 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Odd 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Viking 1 0 0 1 -2 0
15 Sarpsborg 08 2 0 0 2 -2 0
16 Aalesund 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kristiansund Aalesund
2′
🟨 Davíð Kristján Ólafsson
11′
P. Ulvestad 1–0
own goal
Flamur Kastrati 🟨
15′
15′
🟨 Oddbjorn Lie
23′
🟨 Jørgen Hatlehol
2–0 A. Pellegrino
C. Aasbak
24′
3–0 L. Kalludra
A. Pellegrino
31′
4–0 A. Pellegrino
S. Sørli
35′
37′
H. Fridjonsson 4–1
S. Nordli
Half-time 4–1
46′
🔁 S. Sno
↦ J. Hatlehol
56′
🟨 Stale Steen Saethre
A. Askar 🔁
↦ F. Kastrati
57′
59′
🔁 I. Uzochukwu
↦ S. Sæthre
62′
🔁 P. Larsen
↦ H. Fridjonsson
5–1 A. Askar
63′
6–1 A. Pellegrino
M. Mbaye
65′
7–1 S. Sørli
L. Kalludra
68′
70′
🟨 Niklas Castro
72′
🔁 D. Klinkenberg
↦ O. Lie
72′
🔁 M. Karlsbakk
↦ S. Nordli
O. Skarsem 🔁
↦ L. Kalludra
73′
E. Sivertsen 🔁
↦ P. Ulvestad
73′
B. Bye 🔁
↦ A. Pellegrino
73′
F. Pemi 🔁
↦ S. Sørli
80′
8–1 B. Bye
O. Skarsem
81′
Full-time 8–1

Line-ups

Kristiansund

4-3-3
30 M. Mbaye G
5 D. Ulvestad D
3 C. Aasbak D
4 C. Psyché D
6 A. Hopmark M
10 L. Kalludra M
23 P. Ulvestad M
22 B. Sørmo D
7 S. Sørli F
11 F. Kastrati F
9 A. Pellegrino F
Bench (7)
18 A. Askar
17 O. Skarsem
15 E. Sivertsen
13 B. Bye
29 F. Pemi
19 A. Coly
25 E. Johansen

Coach: C. Michelsen

Aalesund

3-5-2
1 A. Lie G
5 O. Lie D
4 J. Grønner D
3 D. Grétarsson D
15 S. Sæthre M
18 D. Ólafsson M
16 J. Hatlehol M
11 S. Nordli M
10 H. Fridjonsson F
22 S. Haugen F
9 N. Castro M
Bench (7)
2 S. Sno
30 I. Uzochukwu
19 P. Larsen
6 D. Klinkenberg
41 M. Karlsbakk
25 G. Kongshavn
20 P. Bizoza

Coach: L. Bohinen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Kai Erik Steen · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.