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Eliteserien

Referee: Tommy Skjerven

Aalesund

T U T T T

0–1

Full-time

Sarpsborg 08

S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Sarpsborg 08

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,8

3,5

Scored

1,3

Conceded

2,5

2,2

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,8

This season — Eliteserien · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 19%

31%

Points per game

0,4

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

81%

56%

Both score Ø 60%

81%

38%

Average goals

4,3

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,1

Conceded

2,9

1,6

Goal diff per game

-1,6

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%

17 Shots 8

2 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 0

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 5

3 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 24

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aalesund 16. · Sarpsborg 08 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	16	14	2	0	+38	44
2	Molde	17	11	1	5	+25	34
3	Odd	16	10	1	5	+11	31
4	Rosenborg	16	8	4	4	+14	28
5	Kristiansund	17	7	6	4	+10	27
6	Valerenga	16	7	5	4	+0	26
7	Brann	16	6	4	6	-1	22
8	Stabaek	17	5	7	5	-3	22
9	Viking	17	6	4	7	-4	22
10	Haugesund	17	6	3	8	-7	21
11	Stromsgodset	16	5	4	7	-9	19
12	Sarpsborg 08	16	5	2	9	-7	17
13	Sandefjord	16	5	1	10	-12	16
14	Start	17	3	6	8	-16	15
15	Mjondalen	16	4	2	10	-13	14
16	Aalesund	16	1	4	11	-26	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	7	7	0	0	+21	21
2	Molde	8	7	0	1	+19	21
3	Odd	9	6	1	2	+7	19
4	Rosenborg	9	5	3	1	+11	18
5	Valerenga	7	4	3	0	+5	15
6	Kristiansund	8	4	2	2	+8	14
7	Sarpsborg 08	9	4	1	4	+2	13
8	Start	9	3	4	2	-1	13
9	Haugesund	9	4	1	4	-2	13
10	Stabaek	9	3	3	3	-1	12
11	Viking	8	3	2	3	+2	11
12	Stromsgodset	8	3	2	3	-3	11
13	Sandefjord	8	3	1	4	-4	10
14	Brann	8	2	3	3	+2	9
15	Mjondalen	7	2	0	5	-5	6
16	Aalesund	8	1	2	5	-13	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	9	7	2	0	+17	23
2	Molde	9	4	1	4	+6	13
3	Kristiansund	9	3	4	2	+2	13
4	Brann	8	4	1	3	-3	13
5	Odd	7	4	0	3	+4	12
6	Valerenga	9	3	2	4	-5	11
7	Viking	9	3	2	4	-6	11
8	Rosenborg	7	3	1	3	+3	10
9	Stabaek	8	2	4	2	-2	10
10	Haugesund	8	2	2	4	-5	8
11	Stromsgodset	8	2	2	4	-6	8
12	Mjondalen	9	2	2	5	-8	8
13	Sandefjord	8	2	0	6	-8	6
14	Sarpsborg 08	7	1	1	5	-9	4
15	Aalesund	8	0	2	6	-13	2
16	Start	8	0	2	6	-15	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.