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Eliteserien
Referee: Espen Eskas
Sandefjord
T T U S U
1–3
Full-time
Lillestrom
U T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sandefjord Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
This season — Eliteserien · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 14%
11%
16%
Points per game
0,6
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
42%
53%
Both score Ø 55%
47%
63%
Average goals
2,9
2,6
Scored
0,9
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
-1,1
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

64% Possession 36%
10 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 4
6 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sandefjord 16. · Lillestrom 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brann 19 12 5 2 +13 41
2 Rosenborg 19 12 4 3 +19 40
3 Haugesund 19 10 5 4 +9 35
4 Molde 19 10 3 6 +16 33
5 Sarpsborg 08 19 9 5 5 +12 32
6 Ranheim 19 9 4 6 -2 31
7 Valerenga 19 7 6 6 -4 27
8 Tromso 20 8 2 10 +0 26
9 Kristiansund 19 6 6 7 -3 24
10 Odd 19 6 5 8 +3 23
11 Bodo/Glimt 20 5 8 7 -2 23
12 Stromsgodset 19 5 7 7 +3 22
13 Stabaek 19 4 6 9 -12 18
14 Lillestrom 19 3 7 9 -11 16
15 Start 19 4 4 11 -20 16
16 Sandefjord 19 2 5 12 -21 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sandefjord Lillestrom
Marius Hoibraten 🟨
22′
26′
T. Olsen 0–1
D. Pedersen
Half-time 0–1
46′
🟨 Matthew Ifeanyi
Marc Vales 🔁
↦ C. Reppesgård
53′
Rufo Herraiz 🔁
↦ H. Storbæk
53′
58′
A. Smárason 0–2
E. Brenden
65′
🔁 E. Knudtzon
↦ A. Melgalvis
71′
A. Smárason 0–3
E. Brenden
F. Azemi 🔁
↦ M. Ofkir
78′
1–3 Pau Morer
Enric Vallès
80′
85′
🔁 F. Krogstad
↦ T. Olsen
87′
🔁 S. Antonijevic
↦ A. Smárason
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Sandefjord

4-2-3-1
12 E. Johansen G
2 L. Grorud D
21 S. Ringstad D
13 M. Høibråten D
4 C. Reppesgård
5 Enric Vallès M
9 H. Storbæk M
7 E. Pálsson M
15 P. Engblom F
6 M. Ofkir M
10 Pau Morer M
Bench (7)
17 Marc Vales
14 Rufo Herraiz
11 F. Azemi
1 J. Storevik
8 E. Mjelde
18 W. Kurtović
46 G. Gibson

Coach: Martí Cifuentes

Lillestrom

4-4-1-1
1 M. Marić G
13 F. Kippe D
4 M. Amundsen D
3 S. Mikalsen D
2 M. Haakenstad D
88 A. Smárason F
23 D. Pedersen M
15 E. Brenden M
33 A. Melgalvis M
6 I. Matthew M
10 T. Olsen F
Bench (7)
11 E. Knudtzon
14 F. Krogstad
22 S. Antonijevic
5 S. Rafn
9 G. Martin
24 E. Sandberg
25 M. Igonen

Coach: J. Lennartsson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Espen Eskas · 120 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.