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Eliteserien

Referee: Tom Harald Hagen

Sarpsborg 08

T T U S S

2–0

Full-time

Lillestrom

U U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

4,2

2,5

Scored

2,5

1,0

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,5

This season — Eliteserien · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 33%

47%

18%

Points per game

1,7

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

71%

59%

Both score Ø 68%

71%

65%

Average goals

3,2

2,6

Scored

1,9

1,1

Conceded

1,2

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

66% Possession 34%

27 Shots 5

8 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 4

4 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 5. · Lillestrom 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brann	17	11	5	1	+15	38
2	Rosenborg	17	11	3	3	+17	36
3	Haugesund	17	9	4	4	+8	31
4	Molde	17	9	3	5	+14	30
5	Sarpsborg 08	17	8	5	4	+12	29
6	Ranheim	17	9	2	6	-2	29
7	Tromso	18	8	2	8	+4	26
8	Kristiansund	17	6	6	5	+2	24
9	Valerenga	17	6	6	5	-6	24
10	Odd	17	6	3	8	+3	21
11	Stromsgodset	17	5	5	7	+3	20
12	Bodo/Glimt	17	3	7	7	-6	16
13	Lillestrom	17	3	6	8	-9	15
14	Stabaek	17	3	5	9	-14	14
15	Start	17	4	2	11	-20	14
16	Sandefjord	18	2	4	12	-21	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	9	7	0	2	+16	21
2	Tromso	9	6	1	2	+12	19
3	Ranheim	9	6	1	2	+8	19
4	Rosenborg	8	5	2	1	+12	17
5	Sarpsborg 08	9	5	2	2	+11	17
6	Brann	8	5	2	1	+8	17
7	Odd	9	5	1	3	+10	16
8	Kristiansund	9	4	3	2	+4	15
9	Stromsgodset	9	4	2	3	+9	14
10	Haugesund	8	4	2	2	+3	14
11	Valerenga	8	3	4	1	+0	13
12	Start	9	4	1	4	-3	13
13	Stabaek	8	3	3	2	+0	12
14	Lillestrom	8	2	5	1	+1	11
15	Bodo/Glimt	8	2	3	3	+1	9
16	Sandefjord	9	1	2	6	-6	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brann	9	6	3	0	+7	21
2	Rosenborg	9	6	1	2	+5	19
3	Haugesund	9	5	2	2	+5	17
4	Sarpsborg 08	8	3	3	2	+1	12
5	Valerenga	9	3	2	4	-6	11
6	Ranheim	8	3	1	4	-10	10
7	Kristiansund	8	2	3	3	-2	9
8	Molde	8	2	3	3	-2	9
9	Bodo/Glimt	9	1	4	4	-7	7
10	Tromso	9	2	1	6	-8	7
11	Stromsgodset	8	1	3	4	-6	6
12	Odd	8	1	2	5	-7	5
13	Sandefjord	9	1	2	6	-15	5
14	Lillestrom	9	1	1	7	-10	4
15	Stabaek	9	0	2	7	-14	2
16	Start	8	0	1	7	-17	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.