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Serie A

Referee: Daniele Orsato

Spal

S S T S S

1–0

Full-time

Parma

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spal Parma

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/1 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,8

4,0

Scored

1,7

2,0

Conceded

1,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

1,0

4,0

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

0,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%

18 Shots 4

5 Shots on target 0

3 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 2

0 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 14

5 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Spal 7. · Parma 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Empoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Roma	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Spal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Parma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Udinese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Milan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Chievo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Torino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Inter	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Lazio	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	Frosinone	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Empoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Parma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Chievo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Torino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+1	3
2	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Roma	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Spal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Udinese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Milan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Inter	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-2	0
9	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-2	0
10	Frosinone	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.