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Championship
Referee: Geoff Eltringham
Rotherham
U T S T T
1–0
Full-time
Millwall
S U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rotherham Millwall
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,2
This season — Championship · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
25%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
2,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

39% Possession 61%
12 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 9
0 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rotherham 21. · Millwall 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Middlesbrough 5 4 1 0 +7 13
2 Leeds 4 3 1 0 +7 10
3 Bolton 5 3 1 1 +0 10
4 Derby 4 3 0 1 +4 9
5 Aston Villa 5 2 3 0 +3 9
6 Blackburn 5 2 3 0 +2 9
7 Sheffield United 5 3 0 2 +1 9
8 Brentford 5 2 2 1 +5 8
9 Bristol City 5 2 2 1 +2 8
10 Swansea 5 2 2 1 +1 8
11 West Brom 5 2 1 2 +5 7
12 Wigan 5 2 1 2 +2 7
13 Nott'm Forest 5 1 4 0 +1 7
14 Sheffield Weds 5 2 1 2 -1 7
15 Millwall 4 1 2 1 +0 5
16 Stoke 5 1 2 2 -3 5
17 Norwich 5 1 1 3 -3 4
18 Hull 5 1 1 3 -4 4
19 Preston 5 1 1 3 -4 4
20 Birmingham 5 0 3 2 -2 3
21 Rotherham 4 1 0 3 -6 3
22 QPR 5 1 0 4 -10 3
23 Reading 5 0 2 3 -3 2
24 Ipswich 5 0 2 3 -4 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.