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Eliteserien
Referee: Kristoffer Hagenes
Lillestrom
T S T T T
1–0
Full-time
Sandefjord
U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Sandefjord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,7
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
This season — Eliteserien · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 14%
14%
14%
Points per game
0,6
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
71%
71%
Both score Ø 71%
71%
71%
Average goals
3,0
3,9
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
1,9
2,4
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
11 Shots 5
2 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 3
7 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lillestrom 15. · Sandefjord 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brann 7 6 1 0 +10 19
2 Rosenborg 8 4 3 1 +7 15
3 Ranheim 8 4 2 2 +1 14
4 Molde 7 4 1 2 +3 13
5 Haugesund 7 4 1 2 +3 13
6 Tromso 7 3 2 2 +5 11
7 Valerenga 7 3 2 2 +1 11
8 Odd 7 3 1 3 -1 10
9 Sarpsborg 08 7 2 3 2 +1 9
10 Stromsgodset 7 2 2 3 +2 8
11 Kristiansund 7 1 4 2 -1 7
12 Stabaek 7 1 4 2 -5 7
13 Bodo/Glimt 7 1 2 4 -5 5
14 Sandefjord 7 1 2 4 -7 5
15 Lillestrom 7 1 1 5 -5 4
16 Start 7 1 1 5 -9 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Sandefjord
1–0 I. Matthew
13′
Half-time 1–0
G. Martin 🔁
↦ T. Olsen
64′
72′
🔁 Pau Morer
↦ E. Mjelde
Gary Martin 🟨
88′
C. Ezeh 🔁
↦ E. Brenden
88′
88′
🔁 O. Breistøl
↦ P. Engblom
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Lillestrom

4-4-2
25 M. Igonen G
13 F. Kippe D
4 M. Amundsen D
2 M. Haakenstad D
5 S. Rafn D
15 E. Brenden M
33 A. Melgalvis M
14 F. Krogstad M
6 I. Matthew M
11 E. Knudtzon F
10 T. Olsen F
Bench (7)
9 G. Martin
8 C. Ezeh
16 T. Gran
22 S. Antonijevic
1 M. Marić
7 M. Ebiye
24 E. Sandberg

Coach: A. Erlandsen

Sandefjord

12 E. Johansen G
2 L. Grorud D
4 C. Reppesgård
16 E. Kane D
13 A. Eleftheriou D
8 E. Mjelde M
9 H. Storbæk M
15 P. Engblom F
11 F. Kastrati F
22 A. Sødlund M
34 H. Nilsen M
Bench (7)
10 Pau Morer
23 O. Breistøl
25 S. Shamohammad
3 S. Foss
37 J. Granlund
7 E. Pálsson
46 G. Gibson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Kristoffer Hagenes · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.