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Serie A
Referee: Federico La Penna
Udinese
U T S S U
1–0
Full-time
Sampdoria
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Sampdoria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

33% Possession 67%
17 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 7
1 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 2 2 0 0 +3 6
2 Napoli 2 2 0 0 +2 6
3 Spal 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Atalanta 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Empoli 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Roma 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Sassuolo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Udinese 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Parma 2 0 1 1 -1 1
10 Milan 1 0 0 1 -1 0
11 Chievo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Torino 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Inter 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Bologna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Cagliari 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Lazio 2 0 0 2 -3 0
17 Frosinone 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Udinese Sampdoria
1–0 R. de Paul
S. Fofana
9′
26′
🟨 Bartosz Bereszyński
Half-time 1–0
57′
🟨 Gastón Ramírez
59′
🔁 R. Saponara
↦ G. Ramírez
Ł. Teodorczyk 🔁
↦ K. Lasagna
66′
67′
🟨 Nicola Murru
70′
🔁 A. Ekdal
↦ J. Jankto
74′
🔁 D. Kownacki
↦ F. Quagliarella
M. D'Alessandro 🔁
↦ D. Machís
76′
Bram Nuytinck 🟨
86′
N. Opoku 🔁
↦ V. Behrami
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Udinese

4-3-3
22 S. Scuffet G
19 J. Larsen D
17 B. Nuytinck D
5 W. Troost-Ekong D
3 Samir D
11 V. Behrami M
6 S. Fofana M
10 R. de Paul M
38 R. Mandragora M
16 D. Machís M
15 K. Lasagna F
Bench (12)
91 Ł. Teodorczyk
77 M. D'Alessandro
4 N. Opoku
1 J. Musso
2 M. Wagué
7 G. Pezzella
9 Felipe Vizeu
18 H. ter Avest
21 S. Pontisso
23 I. Pussetto
72 A. Barák
88 Nicolas

Coach: Julio Velázquez

Sampdoria

4-3-1-2
1 E. Audero G
24 B. Bereszyński D
29 N. Murru D
3 J. Andersen D
15 O. Colley D
8 É. Barreto M
11 G. Ramírez M
16 K. Linetty M
14 J. Jankto M
27 F. Quagliarella F
92 G. Defrel F
Bench (12)
5 R. Saponara
6 A. Ekdal
99 D. Kownacki
4 R. Vieira Nan
7 J. Sala
18 M. Leverbe
25 A. Ferrari
26 L. Tonelli
33 Rafael
40 O. Stijepović
72 V. Belec
95 G. Rolando

Coach: M. Giampaolo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Federico La Penna · 34 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.