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Premier League

Referee: Paul Tierney

Newcastle

T T S T U

1–2

Full-time

Chelsea

S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Newcastle Chelsea

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,8

2,5

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,5

This season — Premier League · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,5

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,5

4,0

Scored

0,5

3,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

18% Possession 82%

6 Shots 15

2 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 5

2 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 8

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Newcastle 15. · Chelsea 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Watford	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Man City	3	2	1	0	+7	7
4	Bournemouth	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Chelsea	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Tottenham	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Leicester	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	Everton	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Man United	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Arsenal	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Crystal Palace	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	Brighton	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Wolves	3	0	2	1	-2	2
14	Cardiff	3	0	2	1	-2	2
15	Newcastle	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Southampton	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Burnley	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Huddersfield	3	0	1	2	-8	1
19	Fulham	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	West Ham	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Watford	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Bournemouth	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Man City	1	1	0	0	+5	3
5	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Leicester	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Everton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Man United	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Arsenal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Wolves	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Cardiff	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Southampton	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Huddersfield	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Fulham	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Watford	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Crystal Palace	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Leicester	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Everton	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Burnley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Newcastle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Cardiff	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	Man United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Arsenal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Fulham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Wolves	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Brighton	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-5	0
20	West Ham	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.