Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Floro
Ham-Kam
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Aalesund
|
18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | +26 | 42 |
| 2 |
Viking
|
21 | 13 | 1 | 7 | +14 | 40 |
| 3 |
Mjondalen
|
20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | +16 | 39 |
| 4 |
Sogndal
|
19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | +13 | 35 |
| 5 |
Kongsvinger
|
20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | +11 | 32 |
| 6 |
Tromsdalen Uil
|
20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | +1 | 32 |
| 7 |
Ull/Kisa
|
20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | +10 | 31 |
| 8 |
Sandnes ULF
|
21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | -7 | 27 |
| 9 |
Nest-Sotra
|
20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | +0 | 26 |
| 10 |
Notodden
|
20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | -5 | 24 |
| 11 |
Ham-Kam
|
20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | -2 | 23 |
| 12 |
Jerv
|
19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | -3 | 23 |
| 13 |
Asane
|
20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | -9 | 23 |
| 14 |
Floro
|
20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -25 | 18 |
| 15 |
Strommen
|
20 | 5 | 1 | 14 | -17 | 16 |
| 16 |
Levanger
|
20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | -23 | 12 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sogndal
Floro
Floro
Aalesund
Ull/Kisa
Floro
Floro
Tromsdalen Uil
Kongsvinger
Floro
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.