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Eliteserien
Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen
Rosenborg
S S S U S
4–3
Full-time
Stromsgodset
U T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rosenborg Stromsgodset
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
2,0
2,2
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,0
This season — Eliteserien · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 45%
63%
26%
Points per game
2,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
47%
58%
Both score Ø 53%
47%
58%
Average goals
2,4
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,6
Conceded
0,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

47% Possession 53%
22 Shots 16
9 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 7
4 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rosenborg 2. · Stromsgodset 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brann 19 12 5 2 +13 41
2 Rosenborg 19 12 4 3 +19 40
3 Haugesund 19 10 5 4 +9 35
4 Molde 19 10 3 6 +16 33
5 Sarpsborg 08 19 9 5 5 +12 32
6 Ranheim 19 9 4 6 -2 31
7 Valerenga 19 7 6 6 -4 27
8 Tromso 20 8 2 10 +0 26
9 Kristiansund 19 6 6 7 -3 24
10 Odd 19 6 5 8 +3 23
11 Bodo/Glimt 20 5 8 7 -2 23
12 Stromsgodset 19 5 7 7 +3 22
13 Stabaek 19 4 6 9 -12 18
14 Lillestrom 19 3 7 9 -11 16
15 Start 19 4 4 11 -20 16
16 Sandefjord 19 2 5 12 -21 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rosenborg Stromsgodset
1–0 I. Jebali
Đ. Denić
22′
J. Levi 🔁
↦ P. Helland
24′
2–0 B. Meling
I. Jebali
40′
43′
M. Abdellaoue 2–1
Half-time 2–1
M. Lundemo 🔁
↦ A. Konradsen
46′
3–1 N. Bendtner
50′
59′
T. Nguen 3–2
E. Andersen
4–2 M. Jensen
N. Bendtner
65′
75′
🔁 A. Pellegrino
↦ K. Tokstad
75′
🔁 J. Hove
↦ H. Stengel
77′
🟨 Lars Saetra
A. Søderlund 🔁
↦ I. Jebali
84′
84′
André Hansen 5–2
own goal
Full-time 5–2

Line-ups

Rosenborg

4-3-3
1 André Hansen G
4 T. Reginiussen D
16 E. Hovland D
2 V. Hedenstad D
3 B. Meling D
7 M. Jensen M
8 A. Konradsen M
5 Đ. Denić M
9 N. Bendtner F
23 P. Helland F
27 I. Jebali F
Bench (7)
17 J. Levi
25 M. Lundemo
14 A. Søderlund
10 M. Vilhjálmsson
21 E. Reitan
24 A. Østbø
26 B. Šerbečić

Coach: R. Coolen

Stromsgodset

4-1-4-1
1 E. Pettersen G
3 J. Parr D
39 L. Sætra
26 L. Vilsvik D
5 J. Glesnes D
6 H. Hauger M
11 K. Tokstad M
7 H. Stengel M
23 E. Andersen M
93 T. Nguen M
30 M. Abdellaoue F
Bench (7)
90 A. Pellegrino
8 J. Hove
2 M. Hamoud
4 K. Madsen
17 C. Lindquist
19 Francisco Júnior
20 P. Heigre

Coach: T. Skullerud

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ola Hobber Nilsen · 129 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.