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Eredivisie
Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie
Utrecht
S T T T S
1–1
Full-time
VVV Venlo
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht VVV Venlo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
4,0
2,5
Scored
1,7
0,5
Conceded
2,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,5
This season — Eredivisie · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
3,0
1,0
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
2,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

61% Possession 39%
21 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 0
2 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Utrecht 12. · VVV Venlo 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 3 3 0 0 +6 9
2 Ajax 3 2 1 0 +6 7
3 AZ Alkmaar 2 2 0 0 +8 6
4 Willem II 3 2 0 1 +5 6
5 Heerenveen 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Excelsior 3 1 1 1 -1 4
7 Heracles 3 1 1 1 -3 4
8 Feyenoord 2 1 0 1 +1 3
9 VVV Venlo 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Groningen 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Den Haag 3 1 0 2 -1 3
12 Utrecht 2 1 0 1 -2 3
13 De Graafschap 3 1 0 2 -2 3
14 NAC Breda 3 1 0 2 -4 3
15 FC Emmen 3 1 0 2 -7 3
16 For Sittard 3 0 1 2 -3 1
17 Zwolle 3 0 0 3 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Utrecht VVV Venlo
1–0 N. Gavory
Simon Gustafson
23′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 J. Opoku
↦ J. Grot
47′
T. Sušić 1–1
Willem Janssen 🟨
53′
S. Makienok 🔁
↦ Simon Gustafson
61′
T. Letschert 🔁
↦ U. Emanuelson
61′
65′
🔁 P. van Ooijen
↦ M. Samuelsen
77′
🟨 Tino-Sven Sušić
C. Dessers 🔁
↦ G. Kerk
79′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Utrecht

4-3-1-2
1 D. Jensen G
14 W. Janssen D
13 E. Bergström D
5 L. Guwara D
17 S. Klaiber D
28 U. Emanuelson M
22 S. van de Streek M
24 N. Gavory D
10 Simon Gustafson M
7 G. Kerk F
26 O. Boussaid M
Bench (9)
9 S. Makienok
15 T. Letschert
11 C. Dessers
27 L. Görtler
19 P. Joosten
41 M. Paes
20 G. Troupée
25 O. Velanas
2 M. van der Maarel

Coach: J. de Jong

VVV Venlo

4-3-3
1 L. Unnerstall G
14 C. Kum D
3 J. Promes D
4 R. Janssen D
13 N. Röseler D
2 M. Rutten D
6 D. Post M
31 T. Sušić M
9 R. Seuntjens M
7 M. Samuelsen M
11 J. Grot F
Bench (11)
10 J. Opoku
8 P. van Ooijen
35 S. Steijn
17 T. Dekker
20 D. van Bruggen
38 Y. Roemer
21 A. Borgmann
34 S. Jansson
26 P. Mlapa
16 D. van Crooij
22 B. Verbong

Coach: M. Steijn

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Danny Desmond Makkelie · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.