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Serie A

Referee: Livio Marinelli

Genoa

S T T T T

2–1

Full-time

Empoli

S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genoa Empoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,3

3,2

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

2,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

30% Possession 70%

13 Shots 18

3 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 7

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 6

0 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Spal	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Empoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Roma	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Udinese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Parma	2	0	1	1	-1	1
10	Milan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Chievo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Torino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Inter	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Lazio	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	Frosinone	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Empoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Spal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Parma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Chievo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Torino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+1	3
2	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Roma	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Spal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Udinese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Milan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Parma	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Inter	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-2	0
10	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	Frosinone	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.