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Eliteserien
Referee: Kai Erik Steen
Lillestrom
T U U U T
2–2
Full-time
Molde
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Molde
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,7
Scored
0,8
2,7
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,7
This season — Eliteserien · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 38%
19%
56%
Points per game
0,9
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
56%
69%
Both score Ø 54%
63%
44%
Average goals
2,6
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,9
Conceded
1,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

49% Possession 51%
16 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 5
5 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lillestrom 13. · Molde 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 17 11 3 3 +17 36
2 Brann 16 10 5 1 +12 35
3 Haugesund 17 9 4 4 +8 31
4 Molde 16 9 2 5 +14 29
5 Sarpsborg 08 17 8 5 4 +12 29
6 Ranheim 17 9 2 6 -2 29
7 Tromso 17 8 2 7 +5 26
8 Kristiansund 17 6 6 5 +2 24
9 Valerenga 17 6 6 5 -6 24
10 Odd 17 6 3 8 +3 21
11 Stromsgodset 17 5 5 7 +3 20
12 Bodo/Glimt 17 3 7 7 -6 16
13 Lillestrom 16 3 5 8 -9 14
14 Stabaek 17 3 5 9 -14 14
15 Start 16 4 2 10 -17 14
16 Sandefjord 17 1 4 12 -22 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Molde
1–0 A. Smárason
17′
Matthew Ifeanyi 🟨
29′
Erling Knudtzon 🟨
34′
37′
F. Aursnes 1–1
P. Cibicki
44′
🟨 Ruben Gabrielsen
Half-time 1–1
59′
🔁 F. Brustad
↦ P. Cibicki
64′
E. Hussain 1–2
E. Håland
65′
🔁 M. Eikrem
↦ F. Aursnes
S. Mikalsen 🔁
↦ E. Brenden
76′
G. Martin 🔁
↦ A. Smárason
82′
F. Krogstad 🔁
↦ A. Melgalvis
82′
82′
🔁 P. Strand
↦ E. Hestad
2–2 T. Olsen
87′
Gary Martin 🟨
89′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Lillestrom

4-2-3-1
1 M. Marić G
13 F. Kippe D
4 M. Amundsen D
2 M. Haakenstad D
88 A. Smárason F
5 S. Rafn D
15 E. Brenden M
33 A. Melgalvis M
6 I. Matthew M
11 E. Knudtzon F
10 T. Olsen F
Bench (7)
3 S. Mikalsen
9 G. Martin
14 F. Krogstad
17 K. Ødemarksbakken
22 S. Antonijevic
24 E. Sandberg
25 M. Igonen

Coach: J. Lennartsson

Molde

4-3-3
1 A. Linde G
5 V. Forren D
4 R. Gabrielsen D
28 K. Haugen D
22 C. Remmer D
16 E. Hussain M
8 B. Sarr D
19 E. Hestad M
17 F. Aursnes M
24 P. Cibicki M
30 E. Håland F
Bench (7)
33 F. Brustad
7 M. Eikrem
14 P. Strand
6 S. Gregersen
10 L. James
26 M. Ranmark
27 D. Chima

Coach: O. Solskjær

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Kai Erik Steen · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.