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Ligue 1

Referee: J Hamel

Lille

S S T S U

3–0

Full-time

Guingamp

T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille Guingamp

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,2

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

83%

100%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

3,5

4,0

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

1,7

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,0

This season — Ligue 1 · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

2,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

3,5

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

0,5

2,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

48% Possession 52%

13 Shots 12

7 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 4

3 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Lille 9. · Guingamp 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Dijon	3	3	0	0	+7	9
3	Lyon	3	2	0	1	+3	6
4	Nimes	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Reims	3	2	0	1	-1	6
6	Toulouse	3	2	0	1	-2	6
7	St Etienne	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Monaco	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Lille	2	1	1	0	+2	4
10	Strasbourg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Montpellier	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Marseille	2	1	0	1	+2	3
13	Amiens	3	1	0	2	+0	3
14	Rennes	2	1	0	1	-1	3
15	Caen	3	0	2	1	-3	2
16	Nantes	3	0	1	2	-4	1
17	Nice	3	0	1	2	-5	1
18	Guingamp	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Bordeaux	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Angers	3	0	0	3	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Lyon	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Toulouse	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Amiens	2	1	0	1	+2	3
6	Lille	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Nimes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Dijon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Reims	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Strasbourg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Caen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Monaco	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Montpellier	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Nantes	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Angers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Guingamp	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Bordeaux	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Nice	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dijon	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Montpellier	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Nimes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	Strasbourg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Reims	2	1	0	1	-2	3
8	St Etienne	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Caen	2	0	1	1	-3	1
12	Bordeaux	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Guingamp	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Lyon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Rennes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Marseille	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Amiens	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Nantes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Angers	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Toulouse	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.