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Eliteserien
Referee: Dag Vidar Hafsaas
Lillestrom
T U T U U
1–1
Full-time
Stromsgodset
T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Stromsgodset
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
This season — Eliteserien · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 25%
21%
29%
Points per game
0,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
57%
57%
Both score Ø 54%
57%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,9
Scored
1,0
1,4
Conceded
1,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%
18 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 5
4 Offside 4
8 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lillestrom 14. · Stromsgodset 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brann 15 10 4 1 +12 34
2 Rosenborg 15 9 3 3 +14 30
3 Ranheim 15 9 2 4 +3 29
4 Molde 15 8 2 5 +10 26
5 Tromso 15 8 2 5 +7 26
6 Haugesund 15 7 4 4 +5 25
7 Sarpsborg 08 15 6 5 4 +7 23
8 Valerenga 15 6 5 4 -2 23
9 Kristiansund 15 5 5 5 +1 20
10 Odd 15 5 2 8 +1 17
11 Stromsgodset 14 4 4 6 +0 16
12 Bodo/Glimt 15 3 6 6 -2 15
13 Stabaek 15 3 5 7 -11 14
14 Lillestrom 14 3 4 7 -7 13
15 Start 15 3 2 10 -18 11
16 Sandefjord 15 1 3 11 -20 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Stromsgodset
35′
Bassel Jradi 0–1
E. Andersen
Half-time 0–1
G. Martin 🔁
↦ S. Mikalsen
60′
69′
🟨 Marcus Pedersen
C. Ezeh 🔁
↦ F. Krogstad
81′
K. Ødemarksbakken 🔁
↦ E. Knudtzon
85′
90′
🔁 M. Høibråten
↦ Francisco Júnior
96′
🔁 A. Pellegrino
↦ E. Andersen
1–1 T. Olsen
S. Rafn
97′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Lillestrom

4-4-2
1 M. Marić G
13 F. Kippe D
4 M. Amundsen D
3 S. Mikalsen D
2 M. Haakenstad D
5 S. Rafn D
33 A. Melgalvis M
14 F. Krogstad M
6 I. Matthew M
11 E. Knudtzon F
10 T. Olsen F
Bench (7)
9 G. Martin
8 C. Ezeh
17 K. Ødemarksbakken
7 M. Ebiye
15 E. Brenden
24 E. Sandberg
25 M. Igonen

Coach: A. Sundgot

Stromsgodset

4-1-4-1
1 E. Pettersen G
3 J. Parr D
39 L. Sætra
26 L. Vilsvik D
5 J. Glesnes D
6 H. Hauger M
23 E. Andersen M
93 T. Nguen M
19 Francisco Júnior M
8 Bassel Jradi M
10 Marcus Pedersen F
Bench (7)
90 A. Pellegrino
28 M. Høibråten
4 K. Madsen
17 C. Lindquist
20 P. Heigre
21 M. Gjerstrøm
25 S. Ringstad

Coach: T. Skullerud

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Dag Vidar Hafsaas · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.