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Eliteserien
Referee: Trygve Kjensli
Sandefjord
T T T S T
1–3
Full-time
Lillestrom
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sandefjord Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
This season — Eliteserien · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 35%
38%
31%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
55%
52%
Both score Ø 50%
45%
55%
Average goals
2,9
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

62% Possession 38%
11 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 2
0 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sandefjord 12. · Lillestrom 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 29 18 7 4 +38 61
2 Molde 29 16 5 8 +15 53
3 Sarpsborg 08 29 13 11 5 +14 50
4 Stromsgodset 29 14 8 7 +9 50
5 Brann 29 13 7 9 +15 46
6 Valerenga 29 11 6 12 +5 39
7 Stabaek 29 10 9 10 -2 39
8 Haugesund 29 11 6 12 -3 39
9 Odd 29 11 6 12 -13 39
10 Kristiansund 29 9 10 10 -3 37
11 Tromso 29 10 7 12 -7 37
12 Sandefjord 29 11 3 15 -11 36
13 Lillestrom 29 9 7 13 -5 34
14 Aalesund 29 7 8 14 -13 29
15 Sogndal 29 7 8 14 -13 29
16 Viking 29 5 6 18 -26 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sandefjord Lillestrom
24′
A. Melgalvis 0–1
E. Knudtzon
Ø. Øvretveit 🔁
↦ I. Jónsson
34′
1–1 Pau Morer
V. Bindia
43′
44′
F. Krogstad 1–2
E. Knudtzon
Half-time 1–2
58′
🔁 S. Mikalsen
↦ A. Melgalvis
Pau Morer 🟨
64′
Lars Grorud 🟨
71′
74′
🔁 M. Tagbajumi
↦ S. Udodji
E. Kane 🔁
↦ V. Bindia
77′
Christer Hansen 🟨
78′
S. Shamohammad 🔁
↦ Pau Morer
84′
87′
🔁 S. Antonijevic
↦ E. Knudtzon
90′
F. Krogstad 1–3
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Sandefjord

3-4-3
1 I. Jónsson G
2 L. Grorud D
19 V. Bindia D
4 C. Reppesgård
3 A. Seck D
10 C. Grossmüller M
15 Enric Vallès M
9 H. Storbæk M
22 A. Sødlund M
6 Pau Morer M
11 F. Kastrati F
Bench (7)
12 Ø. Øvretveit
16 E. Kane
25 S. Shamohammad
8 E. Mjelde
18 W. Kurtovic
21 H. Lorentzen
30 O. Breistøl

Coach: L. Bohinen

Lillestrom

4-4-2
77 A. Origi G
13 F. Kippe D
4 M. Amundsen D
2 M. Haakenstad D
23 S. Udodji F
5 S. Rafn D
33 A. Melgalvis M
14 F. Krogstad M
6 I. Matthew M
7 M. Ebiye F
11 E. Knudtzon F
Bench (7)
3 S. Mikalsen
10 M. Tagbajumi
22 S. Antonijevic
1 M. Marić
8 C. Ezeh
15 E. Brenden
24 E. Sandberg

Coach: A. Erlandsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Trygve Kjensli · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.