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Eliteserien
Referee: Sigurd Smehus Kringstad
Lillestrom
U U T U T
1–1
Full-time
Haugesund
U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Haugesund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,8
This season — Eliteserien · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 37%
17%
56%
Points per game
0,8
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
56%
56%
Both score Ø 61%
61%
61%
Average goals
2,6
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

59% Possession 41%
21 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 19
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lillestrom 13. · Haugesund 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brann 18 11 5 2 +11 38
2 Rosenborg 18 11 4 3 +17 37
3 Haugesund 18 10 4 4 +9 34
4 Molde 18 10 3 5 +18 33
5 Sarpsborg 08 18 9 5 4 +14 32
6 Ranheim 18 9 3 6 -2 30
7 Tromso 18 8 2 8 +4 26
8 Kristiansund 18 6 6 6 -1 24
9 Valerenga 18 6 6 6 -7 24
10 Odd 18 6 4 8 +3 22
11 Stromsgodset 18 5 6 7 +3 21
12 Bodo/Glimt 18 4 7 7 -3 19
13 Lillestrom 18 3 6 9 -11 15
14 Stabaek 18 3 6 9 -14 15
15 Start 18 4 3 11 -20 15
16 Sandefjord 18 2 4 12 -21 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Haugesund
10′
I. Wadji 0–1
B. Akintola
1–1 A. Smárason
33′
36′
🟨 Ibrahima Wadji
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 Bruno Leite
↦ T. Svendsen
51′
🟨 Alexander Stolaas
56′
🟨 Joakim Vaage Nilsen
S. Rafn 🔁
↦ A. Melgalvis
64′
E. Brenden 🔁
↦ E. Knudtzon
64′
67′
🔁 T. Kallevåg
↦ I. Koné
G. Martin 🔁
↦ A. Smárason
88′
90′
🟨 Torbjorn Kallevag
93′
🔁 A. Ikedi
↦ I. Wadji
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Lillestrom

4-4-2
1 M. Marić G
4 M. Amundsen D
3 S. Mikalsen D
2 M. Haakenstad D
22 S. Antonijevic D
88 A. Smárason F
23 D. Pedersen M
33 A. Melgalvis M
6 I. Matthew M
11 E. Knudtzon F
10 T. Olsen F
Bench (7)
5 S. Rafn
15 E. Brenden
9 G. Martin
14 F. Krogstad
17 K. Ødemarksbakken
24 E. Sandberg
25 M. Igonen

Coach: J. Lennartsson

Haugesund

4-4-1-1
1 P. Bråtveit G
6 J. Nilsen M
18 V. Skjerve D
19 K. Haraldseid D
4 F. Knudsen D
22 A. Stølås D
8 S. Tronstad M
21 T. Svendsen M
17 I. Wadji F
77 B. Akintola M
20 I. Koné F
Bench (7)
16 Bruno Leite
14 T. Kallevåg
35 A. Ikedi
7 C. Grindheim
3 B. Karamoko
5 M. Ćosić
12 H. Sandvik

Coach: E. Horneland

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Sigurd Smehus Kringstad · 73 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.