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Serie A
Referee: Paolo Silvio Mazzoleni
Inter
T S T S T
2–2
Full-time
Torino
T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
1,0
Scored
0,0
0,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

54% Possession 46%
13 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Inter 13. · Torino 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 2 2 0 0 +3 6
2 Napoli 2 2 0 0 +2 6
3 Spal 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Atalanta 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Empoli 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Roma 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Sassuolo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Udinese 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Parma 2 0 1 1 -1 1
10 Milan 1 0 0 1 -1 0
11 Chievo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Torino 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Inter 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Bologna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Cagliari 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Lazio 2 0 0 2 -3 0
17 Frosinone 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Inter Torino
1–0 I. Perišić
M. Icardi
6′
22′
🔁 O. Aina
↦ C. Ansaldi
2–0 S. de Vrij
M. Politano
32′
33′
🟨 Soualiho Meïté
36′
🟨 Emiliano Moretti
Stefan de Vrij 🟨
44′
Half-time 2–1
55′
A. Belotti 2–1
Iago Falqué
61′
🔁 A. Ljajić
↦ R. Soriano
Dalbert Henrique 🔁
↦ K. Asamoah
66′
68′
S. Meïté 2–2
K. Baldé 🔁
↦ Š. Vrsaljko
72′
88′
🔁 S. Lukić
↦ Iago Falqué
Lautaro Martínez 🔁
↦ M. Politano
92′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Inter

3-4-2-1
1 S. Handanovič G
2 Š. Vrsaljko D
6 S. de Vrij D
33 D. D'Ambrosio D
37 M. Škriniar D
44 I. Perišić M
18 K. Asamoah D
8 M. Vecino M
77 M. Brozović M
9 M. Icardi F
16 M. Politano F
Bench (12)
29 Dalbert Henrique
11 K. Baldé
10 Lautaro Martínez
5 R. Gagliardini
7 Y. Karamoh
13 A. Ranocchia
14 R. Nainggolan
15 João Mário
20 Borja Valero
23 João Miranda
27 D. Padelli
87 A. Candreva

Coach: L. Spalletti

Torino

3-5-2
39 S. Sirigu G
24 E. Moretti D
29 L. De Silvestri M
15 C. Ansaldi M
33 N. N'Koulou D
5 A. Izzo D
88 T. Rincón M
6 R. Soriano M
23 S. Meïté M
14 Iago Falqué F
9 A. Belotti F
Bench (10)
34 O. Aina
10 A. Ljajić
7 S. Lukić
1 S. Ichazo
20 S. Edera
21 Álex Berenguer
25 A. Rosati
30 K. Djidji
36 Bremer
91 S. Zaza

Coach: W. Mazzarri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Paolo Silvio Mazzoleni · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.