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Eliteserien
Referee: Tommy Skjerven
Odd
T T U T T
3–1
Full-time
Lillestrom
U T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Odd Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
This season — Eliteserien · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 27%
33%
20%
Points per game
1,1
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
67%
53%
Both score Ø 57%
53%
60%
Average goals
2,6
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%
11 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
10 Corners 10
1 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 14
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Odd 10. · Lillestrom 13. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brann 15 10 4 1 +12 34
2 Rosenborg 16 10 3 3 +15 33
3 Ranheim 15 9 2 4 +3 29
4 Molde 15 8 2 5 +10 26
5 Tromso 16 8 2 6 +6 26
6 Haugesund 15 7 4 4 +5 25
7 Sarpsborg 08 15 6 5 4 +7 23
8 Valerenga 15 6 5 4 -2 23
9 Kristiansund 15 5 5 5 +1 20
10 Odd 15 5 2 8 +1 17
11 Stromsgodset 15 4 5 6 +0 17
12 Bodo/Glimt 15 3 6 6 -2 15
13 Lillestrom 15 3 5 7 -7 14
14 Stabaek 15 3 5 7 -11 14
15 Start 15 3 2 10 -18 11
16 Sandefjord 15 1 3 11 -20 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Jun -18 Lillestrom – Odd 0–0 23. Oct -17 Odd – Lillestrom 1–0 8. May -17 Lillestrom – Odd 0–1 11. Sep -16 Lillestrom – Odd 2–4 24. Apr -16 Odd – Lillestrom 1–3

Match report

Odd Lillestrom
1–0 E. Rashani ⚽
J. Samuelsen
13′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 V. Bergan ⚽
F. Nordkvelle
55′
61′
🔁 G. Martin
↦ K. Ødemarksbakken
61′
🔁 C. Ezeh
↦ F. Krogstad
S. Mladenovic 🔁
↦ T. Børven
62′
3–0 S. Mladenovic ⚽
F. Nordkvelle
65′
T. Lauritsen 🔁
↦ M. Broberg
76′
78′
⚽ T. Olsen 3–1
G. Martin
85′
🔁 M. Ebiye
↦ E. Knudtzon
Joshua Kitolano 🔁
↦ E. Rashani
96′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Odd

4-3-3
1 S. Rossbach G
2 E. Ruud D
21 S. Hagen D
5 T. Grøgaard D
4 V. Bergan D
8 J. Samuelsen M
14 F. Nordkvelle M
7 M. Broberg F
11 E. Rashani F
6 V. Hoff M
22 T. Børven F
Bench (7)
13 S. Mladenovic
20 T. Lauritsen
16 Joshua Kitolano
12 V. Myhra
18 O. Björtuft
19 B. Njie
25 J. Kitolano

Coach: D. Fagermo

Lillestrom

4-4-2
1 M. Marić G
13 F. Kippe D
3 S. Mikalsen D
24 E. Sandberg D
5 S. Rafn D
33 A. Melgalvis M
17 K. Ødemarksbakken M
14 F. Krogstad M
6 I. Matthew M
11 E. Knudtzon F
10 T. Olsen F
Bench (7)
9 G. Martin
8 C. Ezeh
7 M. Ebiye
2 M. Haakenstad
4 M. Amundsen
15 E. Brenden
25 M. Igonen

Coach: A. Sundgot

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Tommy Skjerven · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.