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Eredivisie
Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk
AZ Alkmaar
S T S S S
0–0
Full-time
Vitesse
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Vitesse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
4,8
4,0
Scored
3,7
2,5
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+2,5
+1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 2/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
5,0
2,0
Scored
4,5
1,0
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+4,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%
18 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 4
1 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 3 3 0 0 +6 9
2 Ajax 3 2 1 0 +6 7
3 AZ Alkmaar 2 2 0 0 +8 6
4 Willem II 3 2 0 1 +5 6
5 Feyenoord 3 2 0 1 +3 6
6 VVV Venlo 3 1 1 1 +0 4
7 Heerenveen 3 1 1 1 -1 4
8 Excelsior 3 1 1 1 -1 4
9 Utrecht 3 1 1 1 -2 4
10 Heracles 3 1 1 1 -3 4
11 Groningen 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Den Haag 3 1 0 2 -1 3
13 De Graafschap 3 1 0 2 -2 3
14 NAC Breda 3 1 0 2 -4 3
15 FC Emmen 3 1 0 2 -7 3
16 For Sittard 3 0 1 2 -3 1
17 Zwolle 3 0 0 3 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AZ Alkmaar Vitesse
Jonas Svensson 🟨
5′
Pantelis Hatzidiakos 🟨
34′
Oussama Idrissi 🟨
39′
39′
🟨 Thulani Serero
43′
🟨 Matúš Bero
Half-time 0–0
B. Johnsen 🔁
↦ M. Boadu
65′
66′
🔁 M. van Bergen
↦ R. Beerens
A. Gudmundsson 🔁
↦ M. Seuntjens
74′
75′
🔁 M. Ødegaard
↦ M. Bero
79′
🔁 O. Darfalou
↦ T. Matavž
D. Rotariu 🔁
↦ T. Ouwejan
84′
89′
🟨 Alexander Büttner
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

AZ Alkmaar

4-3-3
1 M. Bizot G
4 R. Vlaar D
2 J. Svensson D
12 P. Hatzidiakos D
5 T. Ouwejan D
6 F. Midtsjø M
20 M. Seuntjens F
8 T. Koopmeiners M
10 G. Til M
11 O. Idrissi F
21 M. Boadu F
Bench (6)
9 B. Johnsen
28 A. Gudmundsson
14 D. Rotariu
42 M. Savastano
23 L. Bergsma
25 J. Schendelaar

Coach: J. van den Brom

Vitesse

4-3-3
1 Eduardo G
28 A. Büttner D
3 M. van der Werff D
8 V. Karavaev D
14 J. Clarke-Salter D
17 T. Serero M
25 N. Foor M
21 M. Bero M
7 R. Beerens F
9 T. Matavž F
11 B. Linssen F
Bench (8)
16 M. van Bergen
18 M. Ødegaard
13 O. Darfalou
2 K. Karami
5 M. Clark
10 T. Bruns
22 R. Pasveer
30 D. Doekhi

Coach: L. Slutskiy

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Serdar Gozubuyuk · 131 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.